What Śląsk Wrocław have left to play in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
5 matches ahead in Ekstraklasa
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 5 matches ahead of Śląsk Wrocław in Ekstraklasa rates 3.3 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 1 of them rates harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 1.30 projected xG a match from them and 3.3 of the 9 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Lech Poznań at home, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 90/99 and a defence rated 79/99. Worth reading those figures against: the model has not priced 2 of these 5 matches; the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Wieczysta Kraków home Sun 25/10
Projected xG 1.51 – 1.59 Śląsk Wrocław win 34%
Lech Poznań home Sat 10/10
Projected xG 1.13 – 1.85 Śląsk Wrocław win 20%
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Open the match page for Lech Poznań
Sat 10/10 Home Lech Poznań Ekstraklasa
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 90/99, defence 79/99Projected xG 1.13 – 1.85 Projected xPts 0.87- Śląsk Wrocław
- 20%
- Draw
- 26%
- Lech Poznań
- 53%
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Open the match page for Motor Lublin
Sat 17/10 Away Motor Lublin Ekstraklasa
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 39/99, defence 42/99Projected xG 1.26 – 1.64 Projected xPts 1.09- Motor Lublin
- 45%
- Draw
- 29%
- Śląsk Wrocław
- 27%
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Open the match page for Wieczysta Kraków
Sun 25/10 Home Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 40/99Projected xG 1.51 – 1.59 Projected xPts 1.31- Śląsk Wrocław
- 34%
- Draw
- 28%
- Wieczysta Kraków
- 38%
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Open the match page for Radomiak Radom
Sat 31/10 Away Radomiak Radom Ekstraklasa
Not priced yet, so there is no band for it Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 24/99 -
Open the match page for Piast Gliwice
Sat 07/11 Home Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa
Not priced yet, so there is no band for it Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 48/99
Ekstraklasa publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Ekstraklasa.
Fixture difficulty in Ekstraklasa
Reads each matchup for Śląsk Wrocław: the band is cut from the model's chances of Śląsk Wrocław winning and losing the match, so Śląsk Wrocław's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Ekstraklasa's average club, with no venue and nothing of Śląsk Wrocław's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 6 hardest of 18
- Lech Poznań Home +0.65
- Motor Lublin Away −0.15
- Wieczysta Kraków Home +0.03
- Radomiak Radom Away −0.29
- Piast Gliwice Home −0.09
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Ekstraklasa and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.