xgEdge

Śląsk Wrocław's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 9 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 3 draws, 5 losses

6 pts 11–15 goals −4 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
12.56 – 15.61
1.40 – 1.73 per match
xGD
-3.05
-0.34 per match
xG record
4 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 9 of 9 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

6 pts 10.8 xPts

−4.8 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 9 of 9 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Śląsk Wrocław's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 4 of 9 matches, for −3.05 xG difference overall on 12.56–15.61. Their points total of 6 sits 4.8 below the model's 10.8 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The win against Raków Częstochowa came with −1.50 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 9 results Śląsk Wrocław are 4.78 points below their xPts.

Points
6
xPts
10.78
Gap
-4.78
Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.09 +0.38 +0.62 -1.05 -1.82 -2.16 -3.88 -4.47 -4.78 -2.09 +2.47 +0.24 -1.67 -0.77 -0.34 -1.72 -0.59 -0.31 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Śląsk Wrocław: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Górnik Zabrze 0 2.09 -2.09 -2.09
Sun 02/08 Raków Częstochowa 3 0.53 +2.47 +0.38
Sun 09/08 Cracovia 1 0.76 +0.24 +0.62
Sat 15/08 Zagłębie Lubin 0 1.67 -1.67 -1.05
Sat 22/08 Widzew Łódź 1 1.77 -0.77 -1.82
Fri 28/08 Legia Warszawa 1 1.34 -0.34 -2.16
Sun 06/09 Jagiellonia Białystok 0 1.72 -1.72 -3.88
Sat 12/09 MKS Korona Kielce 0 0.59 -0.59 -4.47
Fri 18/09 Wisła Kraków 0 0.31 -0.31 -4.78

Scores and xG

Śląsk Wrocław first

  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.75

    xGA 2.51

    xGD -1.76

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wisła Kraków, Fri 18/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.31
    Points minus xPts
    -0.31

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.29

    xGA 2.54

    xGD -1.25

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · MKS Korona Kielce, Sat 12/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.60
    Points minus xPts
    -0.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss against the chances

    xG 1.86

    xGA 1.39

    xGD +0.47

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Jagiellonia Białystok, Sun 06/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.72
    Points minus xPts
    -1.72

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Draw with even chances

    xG 1.76

    xGA 1.82

    xGD -0.06

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Legia Warszawa, Fri 28/08

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.34
    Points minus xPts
    -0.34

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Draw against the chances

    xG 1.83

    xGA 1.29

    xGD +0.54

    3:3 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Widzew Łódź, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.77
    Points minus xPts
    -0.77

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss against the chances

    xG 1.26

    xGA 0.89

    xGD +0.37

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Zagłębie Lubin, Sat 15/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.67
    Points minus xPts
    -1.67

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Draw against the chances

    xG 0.75

    xGA 1.48

    xGD -0.73

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cracovia, Sun 09/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.75
    Points minus xPts
    +0.25

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Ekstraklasa Win against the chances

    xG 1.52

    xGA 3.02

    xGD -1.50

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Raków Częstochowa, Sun 02/08

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    0.53
    Points minus xPts
    +2.47

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Ekstraklasa Loss against the chances

    xG 1.54

    xGA 0.67

    xGD +0.87

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Górnik Zabrze, Sat 25/07

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.09
    Points minus xPts
    -2.09

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Raków Częstochowa 2:1

· Home xG / xGA 1.52 – 3.02

Goal difference
+1
xGD
-1.50
GD minus xGD
+2.50

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Górnik Zabrze 1:2

· Away xG / xGA 1.54 – 0.67

Goal difference
-1
xGD
+0.87
GD minus xGD
-1.87

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →