xgEdge

Expected goals

Śląsk Wrocław expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Śląsk Wrocław's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Śląsk Wrocław xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.40 xG per match
#15/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
12.56 9 matches
Defence
1.73 xGA per match
#14/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
15.61 9 matches
xG difference
-0.34 xGD per match
#15/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.05 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.20 xPts per match
#15/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
10.78 vs 6 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Śląsk Wrocław's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ekstraklasa. They rank #15 for xG difference at -0.34 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 1.56 below 12.56 xG, while 6 points are 4.78 below 10.78 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.38 xG from penalties
11 12.56 -1.56 scored 1.56 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
15 15.61 -0.61 conceded 0.61 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
6 10.78 -4.78 4.78 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Śląsk Wrocław are 1.56 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -1.81, against MKS Korona Kielce on Sat 12/09.

Goals
11
xG
12.56
Gap
-1.56
Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.54 -0.06 -0.81 -1.07 +0.10 -0.66 -1.52 -1.81 -1.56 -0.54 +0.48 -0.75 -0.26 +1.17 -0.76 -0.86 -0.29 +0.25 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Śląsk Wrocław: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 Górnik Zabrze 1 1.54 -0.54 -0.54
Sun 02/08 Raków Częstochowa 2 1.52 +0.48 -0.06
Sun 09/08 Cracovia 0 0.75 -0.75 -0.81
Sat 15/08 Zagłębie Lubin 1 1.26 -0.26 -1.07
Sat 22/08 Widzew Łódź 3 1.83 +1.17 +0.10
Fri 28/08 Legia Warszawa 1 1.76 -0.76 -0.66
Sun 06/09 Jagiellonia Białystok 1 1.86 -0.86 -1.52
Sat 12/09 MKS Korona Kielce 1 1.29 -0.29 -1.81
Fri 18/09 Wisła Kraków 1 0.75 +0.25 -1.56

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Śląsk Wrocław xG trend

Current form -0.58 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 9 matches. The worst was against Wisła Kraków on Fri 18/09 (-1.76).

npxG · last 6
1.19
npxGA · last 6
1.78
-2 -1 0 +1 +0.78 Sat 25/07 -1.28 Sun 02/08 -0.81 Sun 09/08 +0.18 Sat 15/08 +0.73 Sat 22/08 -0.84 Fri 28/08 -0.30 Sun 06/09 -1.50 Sat 12/09 -1.76 Fri 18/09 -0.53 season avg
Śląsk Wrocław: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 Górnik Zabrze 1.54 0.76 +0.78 +0.78
Sun 02/08 Raków Częstochowa 1.77 3.05 -1.28 -0.25
Sun 09/08 Cracovia 0.71 1.52 -0.81 -0.44
Sat 15/08 Zagłębie Lubin 1.07 0.89 +0.18 -0.28
Sat 22/08 Widzew Łódź 2.15 1.42 +0.73 -0.08
Fri 28/08 Legia Warszawa 0.98 1.82 -0.84 -0.21
Sun 06/09 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.08 1.38 -0.30 -0.22
Sat 12/09 MKS Korona Kielce 1.13 2.63 -1.50 -0.38
Fri 18/09 Wisła Kraków 0.75 2.51 -1.76 -0.53

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.24 npxG and 1.78 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
  2. MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13
  3. Jagiellonia Białystok Away −0.10
  4. Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
  5. Widzew Łódź Home −0.10
  6. Zagłębie Lubin Away −0.15
  7. Cracovia Home +0.15
  8. Raków Częstochowa Home −0.23
  9. Górnik Zabrze Away +0.27

Last 5

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18

  1. Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
  2. MKS Korona Kielce Home −0.13
  3. Jagiellonia Białystok Away −0.10
  4. Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
  5. Widzew Łódź Home −0.10

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Śląsk Wrocław shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Śląsk Wrocław take 12.0 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #18 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #4 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 14% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.0 shots per match
#18/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
108 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#4/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
11.18 npxG from 108 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.2 shots per match
#14/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
146 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#16/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
15.98 npxGA from 146 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 71 of 108 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 95 of 146 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

86% open play · 14% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 1.5 of 10.8 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 3.9 of 15.9 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Śląsk Wrocław home and away xG

Śląsk Wrocław per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.35 1.43
xGA / match 2.08 1.46
xGD / match -0.74 -0.02
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.91 1.43

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Śląsk Wrocław match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.40
xGA / match
1.73
xGD / match
-0.34
Points
6 of 27
  1. Fri 18/09 Wisła Kraków A Weakest underlying xG 0.75 xGA 2.51 xGD -1.76
  2. Sat 12/09 MKS Korona Kielce H xG 1.29 xGA 2.54 xGD -1.25
  3. Sun 06/09 Jagiellonia Białystok A xG 1.86 P xGA 1.39 xGD +0.47
  4. Fri 28/08 Legia Warszawa A xG 1.76 P xGA 1.82 xGD -0.06
  5. Sat 22/08 Widzew Łódź H xG 1.83 xGA 1.29 xGD +0.54
  6. Sat 15/08 Zagłębie Lubin A xG 1.26 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.37
  7. Sun 09/08 Cracovia H xG 0.75 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.73
  8. Sun 02/08 Raków Częstochowa H Against the chances xG 1.52 xGA 3.02 xGD -1.50
  9. Sat 25/07 Górnik Zabrze A Best underlying xG 1.54 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.87

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.02. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Śląsk Wrocław in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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