xgEdge

Expected goals

Fredrikstad FK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Fredrikstad FK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Fredrikstad FK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.20 xG per match
#12/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
25.28 21 matches
Defence
1.67 xGA per match
#13/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
35.17 21 matches
xG difference
-0.47 xGD per match
#12/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
-9.89 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.10 xPts per match
#11/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
23.13 vs 28 actual pts

What the xG says

Fredrikstad FK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eliteserien. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.47 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 25 goals are 0.28 below 25.28 xG, while 28 points are 4.87 above 23.13 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.22 xG from penalties
25 25.28 -0.28 scored 0.28 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
32 35.17 -3.17 conceded 3.17 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
28 23.13 +4.87 4.87 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Fredrikstad FK are 0.28 goals below their xG after 21 matches. The gap was widest at -1.47, against Kristiansund BK on Sun 16/08.

Goals
25
xG
25.28
Gap
-0.28
Sun 15/03 Sun 22/03 Tue 07/04 Sun 12/04 Sun 19/04 Sat 25/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sat 11/07 Fri 17/07 Mon 27/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.42 +1.05 +3.42 +2.84 -0.07 +0.08 +0.14 +0.37 +1.34 +1.07 +1.48 +0.31 +0.19 -0.35 -0.79 -1.32 -1.47 -0.58 -0.17 -0.57 -0.28 -0.42 +1.47 +2.37 -0.58 -2.91 +0.15 +0.06 +0.23 +0.97 -0.27 +0.41 -1.17 -0.12 -0.54 -0.44 -0.53 -0.15 +0.89 +0.41 -0.40 +0.29 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Fredrikstad FK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 15/03 Tromsø IL 0 0.42 -0.42 -0.42
Sun 22/03 KFUM Oslo 3 1.53 +1.47 +1.05
Tue 07/04 Aalesunds FK 3 0.63 +2.37 +3.42
Sun 12/04 Vålerenga IF 1 1.58 -0.58 +2.84
Sun 19/04 Kristiansund BK 0 2.91 -2.91 -0.07
Sat 25/04 Viking FK 1 0.85 +0.15 +0.08
Sat 02/05 SK Brann 1 0.94 +0.06 +0.14
Sat 09/05 Sarpsborg 08 1 0.77 +0.23 +0.37
Sat 16/05 HamKam 2 1.03 +0.97 +1.34
Mon 25/05 Sandefjord Fotball 1 1.27 -0.27 +1.07
Fri 29/05 IK Start 2 1.59 +0.41 +1.48
Sat 11/07 Lillestrøm SK 0 1.17 -1.17 +0.31
Fri 17/07 Bodø/Glimt 0 0.12 -0.12 +0.19
Mon 27/07 Rosenborg BK 0 0.54 -0.54 -0.35
Sat 01/08 Sandefjord Fotball 1 1.44 -0.44 -0.79
Sat 08/08 IK Start 1 1.53 -0.53 -1.32
Sun 16/08 Kristiansund BK 1 1.15 -0.15 -1.47
Sun 30/08 Lillestrøm SK 4 3.11 +0.89 -0.58
Fri 04/09 Bodø/Glimt 1 0.59 +0.41 -0.17
Sun 13/09 Sarpsborg 08 1 1.40 -0.40 -0.57
Sun 20/09 Vålerenga IF 1 0.71 +0.29 -0.28

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Fredrikstad FK xG trend

Current form -0.03 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 9 of 21 matches. The worst was against Tromsø IL on Sun 15/03 (-2.96).

npxG · last 6
1.25
npxGA · last 6
1.29
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -2.96 Sun 15/03 +0.29 Sun 22/03 -0.39 Tue 07/04 +0.04 Sun 12/04 +0.80 Sun 19/04 -1.48 Sat 25/04 -0.70 Sat 02/05 -1.39 Sat 09/05 +0.13 Sat 16/05 +0.41 Mon 25/05 +0.78 Fri 29/05 -0.36 Sat 11/07 -1.38 Fri 17/07 -2.05 Mon 27/07 +0.52 Sat 01/08 -0.16 Sat 08/08 -0.31 Sun 16/08 +0.90 Sun 30/08 -0.96 Fri 04/09 +1.16 Sun 13/09 -0.84 Sun 20/09 -0.38 season avg
Fredrikstad FK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 15/03 Tromsø IL 0.46 3.42 -2.96 -2.96
Sun 22/03 KFUM Oslo 1.53 1.24 +0.29 -1.34
Tue 07/04 Aalesunds FK 0.62 1.01 -0.39 -1.02
Sun 12/04 Vålerenga IF 1.70 1.66 +0.04 -0.76
Sun 19/04 Kristiansund BK 2.91 2.11 +0.80 -0.44
Sat 25/04 Viking FK 0.69 2.17 -1.48 -0.62
Sat 02/05 SK Brann 1.01 1.71 -0.70 -0.63
Sat 09/05 Sarpsborg 08 0.77 2.16 -1.39 -0.72
Sat 16/05 HamKam 1.08 0.95 +0.13 -0.63
Mon 25/05 Sandefjord Fotball 1.27 0.86 +0.41 -0.53
Fri 29/05 IK Start 1.46 0.68 +0.78 -0.41
Sat 11/07 Lillestrøm SK 0.86 1.22 -0.36 -0.40
Fri 17/07 Bodø/Glimt 0.17 1.55 -1.38 -0.48
Mon 27/07 Rosenborg BK 0.56 2.61 -2.05 -0.59
Sat 01/08 Sandefjord Fotball 1.47 0.95 +0.52 -0.52
Sat 08/08 IK Start 1.61 1.77 -0.16 -0.49
Sun 16/08 Kristiansund BK 0.90 1.21 -0.31 -0.48
Sun 30/08 Lillestrøm SK 2.29 1.39 +0.90 -0.41
Fri 04/09 Bodø/Glimt 0.59 1.55 -0.96 -0.44
Sun 13/09 Sarpsborg 08 1.40 0.24 +1.16 -0.36
Sun 20/09 Vålerenga IF 0.71 1.55 -0.84 -0.38

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.15 npxG and 1.52 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 8 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.10 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 8 hardest of 16

  1. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  2. Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
  3. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  4. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  5. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  6. IK Start Away +0.04
  7. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13
  8. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  9. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  10. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  11. IK Start Home +0.04
  12. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  13. HamKam Home −0.51
  14. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  15. SK Brann Away 0.00
  16. Viking FK Home +0.35
  17. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  18. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  19. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  20. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  21. Tromsø IL Away +0.08

Last 5

+0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  2. Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
  3. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  4. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  5. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Fredrikstad FK shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Fredrikstad FK take 11.3 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #14 in Eliteserien for volume and #8 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.3 shots per match
#14/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
238 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#8/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
24.06 npxG from 238 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.0 shots per match
#12/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
315 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#9/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
32.01 npxGA from 315 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 158 of 238 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 208 of 315 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.1 of 24.1 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 8.2 of 31.8 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Fredrikstad FK home and away xG

Fredrikstad FK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 10 11
xG / match 1.23 1.18
xGA / match 1.30 2.02
xGD / match -0.06 -0.84
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.35 0.87

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Fredrikstad FK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
1.18
xGA / match
1.58
xGD / match
-0.40
Points
14 of 30
  1. Sun 20/09 Vålerenga IF A xG 0.71 xGA 1.55 xGD -0.84
  2. Sun 13/09 Sarpsborg 08 H Best underlying xG 1.40 xGA 0.23 xGD +1.17
  3. Fri 04/09 Bodø/Glimt H xG 0.59 xGA 1.55 xGD -0.96
  4. Sun 30/08 Lillestrøm SK A xG 3.11 P xGA 2.34 P xGD +0.77
  5. Sun 16/08 Kristiansund BK H xG 1.15 xGA 1.28 xGD -0.13
  6. Sat 08/08 IK Start A xG 1.53 xGA 1.77 xGD -0.24
  7. Sat 01/08 Sandefjord Fotball H xG 1.44 xGA 1.05 xGD +0.39
  8. Mon 27/07 Rosenborg BK A xG 0.54 xGA 2.54 xGD -2.00
  9. Fri 17/07 Bodø/Glimt A Weakest underlying xG 0.12 xGA 2.24 P xGD -2.12
  10. Sat 11/07 Lillestrøm SK H xG 1.17 xGA 1.24 xGD -0.07

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.11. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Fredrikstad FK in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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