FC Twente 3:1 PEC Zwolle: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Sunday, 16/08/2026 at 14:30

Full time

Match report · Eredivisie

FC Twente Home 2.62 xG · 28 shots

PEC Zwolle Away 0.80 xG · 8 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

21' Elias Sørensen PEC Zwolle · 0.31 xG chance 0–1
38' Daouda Weidmann FC Twente · 0.06 xG chance 1–1
59' Dylan Mbayo (o.g.) FC Twente · 0.10 xG chance 2–1
69' Daan Rots FC Twente · 0.02 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

FC Twente PEC Zwolle

Shots: 28; 8
On target: 11; 3
Inside the box: 17; 5
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.08
Open play xG: 1.95; 0.52
Set-piece xG: 0.28; 0.15
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.21 for FC Twente and 0.68 for PEC Zwolle.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 2.90 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Twente
PEC Zwolle
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Twente

1.76 xG created 1.36 xGA

W 2.08 created, 1.15 conceded against FC Volendam
D 1.28 created, 1.86 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
D 0.46 created, 1.39 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
W 3.92 created, 0.86 conceded against Sparta Rotterdam
L 1.41 created, 2.49 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
L 1.41 created, 0.40 conceded against SC Heerenveen

PEC Zwolle

1.16 xG created 2.01 xGA

L 1.48 created, 2.49 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
D 2.66 created, 1.50 conceded against Excelsior
L 0.83 created, 1.88 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
W 0.62 created, 1.00 conceded against Heracles Almelo
L 0.80 created, 3.21 conceded against Feyenoord
L 0.59 created, 1.97 conceded against AFC Ajax

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Twente: 0 won · 1 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.