xgEdge

Fantasy Premier League

Best value in the game

Every player the game would let you field, projected over the rounds ahead and priced against them. The board is ranked on the model's own currency; the value column is one click away.

Best value in the game

Riccardo Calafiori

DEF · ARS · 5.8m · owned by 51%

2.22

Value

every bar on one axis of 0 to 2.5

That is 12.9 projected points over the rounds ahead, weighted so the round in front of him counts for most.

Gameweek 6 · 5-round window · feed of 01/10 11:39

Riccardo Calafiori is the best value on the board: 2.22 points per million, from 12.9 over 5 rounds at 5.8m.

Price

5.8m

What the game charges for him today, which is what the value column divides by.

Ahead

12.9

His weighted score over the next 5 rounds, and the currency this board is ranked in.

Own

51%

The share of managers already holding him.

The top five on this board

The board as your controls leave it — the same five that open the table below.

  1. Ranked 1 Bukayo Saka
    MID ARS vs
    14.7 Ahead
    Value
    1.55
    Price
    9.5m
    Own
    14%
    2.4
    1. LEE (H)
    2. NFO (A)
    3. EVE (H)
    4. LIV (A)
    5. HUL (H)
  2. Ranked 2 Gabriel Magalhães
    DEF ARS vs
    13.6 Ahead
    Value
    1.70
    Price
    8.0m
    Own
    23%
    2.4
    1. LEE (H)
    2. NFO (A)
    3. EVE (H)
    4. LIV (A)
    5. HUL (H)
  3. Ranked 3 David Raya Martín
    GKP ARS vs
    13.2 Ahead
    Value
    2.17
    Price
    6.1m
    Own
    42%
    2.4
    1. LEE (H)
    2. NFO (A)
    3. EVE (H)
    4. LIV (A)
    5. HUL (H)
  4. Ranked 4 Riccardo Calafiori
    DEF ARS vs
    12.9 Ahead
    Value
    2.22
    Price
    5.8m
    Own
    51%
    2.4
    1. LEE (H)
    2. NFO (A)
    3. EVE (H)
    4. LIV (A)
    5. HUL (H)
  5. Ranked 5 Martin Ødegaard
    MID ARS vs
    12.6 Ahead
    Value
    1.86
    Price
    6.8m
    Own
    20%
    2.4
    1. LEE (H)
    2. NFO (A)
    3. EVE (H)
    4. LIV (A)
    5. HUL (H)
Position
Minutes played
Rounds ahead
Price
1 Bukayo Saka 14.7
MID vs ARS · 9.5m 92%
Value
1.55
Pts
4.6
xGI
0.91
Own
14%
Mins
416
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
DEF vs ARS · 8.0m 92%
Value
1.70
Pts
4.3
xGI
0.14
Own
23%
Mins
450
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
GKP vs ARS · 6.1m 92%
Value
2.17
Pts
4.1
xGI
0.00
Own
42%
Mins
450
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
DEF vs ARS · 5.8m 92%
Value
2.22
Pts
4.1
xGI
0.27
Own
51%
Mins
416
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
MID vs ARS · 6.8m 92%
Value
1.86
Pts
3.9
xGI
0.58
Own
20%
Mins
377
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
6 Kai Havertz ! 9.9
FWD vs ARS · 7.6m 69%
Value
1.30
Pts
3.1
xGI
0.42
Own
8.3%
Mins
437
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
MID vs ARS · 6.3m 92%
Value
1.46
Pts
2.8
xGI
0.19
Own
12%
Mins
362
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
DEF vs ARS · 4.6m 58%
Value
1.76
Pts
2.6
xGI
0.08
Own
19%
Mins
281
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
9 Declan Rice ! 8.1
MID vs ARS · 7.4m 69%
Value
1.09
Pts
2.5
xGI
0.18
Own
12%
Mins
411
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
MID vs ARS · 5.4m 75%
Value
1.41
Pts
2.4
xGI
0.13
Own
0.6%
Mins
271
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
11 Benjamin White ! 6.7
DEF vs ARS · 5.5m 56%
Value
1.22
Pts
2.1
xGI
0.13
Own
4.9%
Mins
315
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
DEF vs ARS · 5.3m 42%
Value
1.03
Pts
1.7
xGI
0.01
Own
1.6%
Mins
168
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
MID vs ARS · 6.7m 25%
Value
0.61
Pts
1.3
xGI
0.19
Own
1.8%
Mins
123
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
14 Jurriën Timber 3.8
DEF vs ARS · 6.5m 25%
Value
0.59
Pts
1.2
xGI
0.03
Own
0.4%
Mins
104
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
15 Viktor Gyökeres 2.8
FWD vs ARS · 7.1m 8.3%
Value
0.39
Pts
0.9
xGI
0.71
Own
3.1%
Mins
29
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
16 Max Dowman 2.4
MID vs ARS · 5.3m 8.3%
Value
0.46
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.80
Own
0.1%
Mins
9
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
MID vs ARS · 5.3m 8.3%
Value
0.46
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.25
Own
0.6%
Mins
89
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
18 Noni Madueke 2.4
MID vs ARS · 6.2m 8.3%
Value
0.39
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.20
Own
0.2%
Mins
23
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
19 Eberechi Eze 2.4
MID vs ARS · 6.2m 8.3%
Value
0.39
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.14
Own
1.0%
Mins
85
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
20 Illan Meslier 2.4
GKP vs ARS · 4.9m 8.3%
Value
0.49
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.00
Own
0.0%
Mins
0
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
21 Kepa Arrizabalaga Revuelta 2.4
GKP vs ARS · 4.9m 8.3%
Value
0.49
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.00
Own
0.1%
Mins
0
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
MID vs ARS · 5.7m 8.3%
Value
0.42
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.33
Own
0.4%
Mins
81
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
DEF vs ARS · 5.2m 8.3%
Value
0.41
Pts
0.7
xGI
0.00
Own
0.9%
Mins
32
  1. LEE (H)
  2. NFO (A)
  3. EVE (H)
  4. LIV (A)
  5. HUL (H)
each row's Ahead, drawn to scale every bar on one axis of 0 to 20

What this board is, and what it is not

Every ranking here is in expected points or in the weighted score for the rounds ahead, which are the units this model is measured in. The value column is those figures restated over a price — it is a way of scanning the board, and nothing on this site backtests it.

Bonus points are projected nowhere on this site, so they are in none of these figures.

The window score is points times weight rather than points. The 5 weights sum to 3.36, so a window score is never a total anybody could add up from the per-round figures beside it.

The price is what he costs today. What the game would pay for a player who has risen is less, so a value figure is an estimate of a purchase rather than of a sale.

The board is every player the game would let you field, the flagged included — whether a doubtful player is worth picking is a judgement the projection makes with his published chance of playing, not one made by hiding him.

What is measured here, and what is not

  • Measured The projected points

    Replayed against gameweek 2 after it was played: an average miss of 1.617 points a player, against 1.842 for “predict what he has averaged so far”, over 456 players. Recorded Sunday, 6 September 2026 and refreshed by hand, so the date is part of the claim.