NK Slaven Belupo 1:4 NK Varaždin: xG & match report · HNL

Sunday, 09/08/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · HNL

NK Slaven Belupo Home 0.95 xG · 12 shots

NK Varaždin Away 2.49 xG · 24 shots

14 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

26' Ivan Canjuga NK Varaždin · 0.08 xG chance 0–1
28' Luka Mamić NK Varaždin · 0.81 xG chance 0–2
44' Aleksa Latković NK Varaždin · 0.08 xG chance 0–3
71' Ilija Nestorovski NK Slaven Belupo · 0.26 xG chance 1–3
78' Ivan Canjuga NK Varaždin · 0.18 xG chance 1–4

The shots behind it

NK Slaven Belupo NK Varaždin

Shots: 12; 24
On target: 6; 8
Inside the box: 6; 16
xG per shot: 0.08; 0.10
Open play xG: 0.89; 1.77
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.70
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.95 for NK Slaven Belupo and 2.49 for NK Varaždin.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

36 shots · 3.40 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

NK Slaven Belupo
NK Varaždin
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

NK Slaven Belupo

1.14 xG created 1.63 xGA

L 1.04 created, 2.06 conceded against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
D 1.42 created, 1.51 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
L 2.07 created, 1.20 conceded against NK Istra 1961
W 1.07 created, 0.33 conceded against HNK Gorica
L 0.74 created, 2.06 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L 0.49 created, 2.64 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb

NK Varaždin

1.48 xG created 0.91 xGA

L 0.47 created, 1.19 conceded against GNK Dinamo Zagreb
L 1.98 created, 1.73 conceded against HNK Hajduk Split
D 0.75 created, 0.29 conceded against NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
W 1.74 created, 0.70 conceded against HNK Vukovar 1991
W 3.05 created, 0.40 conceded against NK Istra 1961
W 0.90 created, 1.16 conceded against HNK Hajduk Split

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

NK Slaven Belupo: 2 won · 0 drawn · 2 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.