NK Slaven Belupo's attacking and defensive expected goals in HNL 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
NK Slaven Belupo xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2.24 |
| #2 | HNK Rijeka | 1.65 |
| #3 | HNK Hajduk Split | 1.52 |
| #4 | NK Osijek | 1.51 |
| #5 | NK Istra 1961 | 1.44 |
| #6 | NK Varaždin | 1.41 |
| #7 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.05 |
| #8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 0.93 |
| #9 | HNK Gorica | 0.87 |
| #10 | NK Rudeš | 0.60 |
- League avg
- 1.31
- Total
- 7.41 8 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0.74 |
| #2 | HNK Rijeka | 0.77 |
| #3 | NK Varaždin | 0.88 |
| #4 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 0.91 |
| #5 | NK Istra 1961 | 1.26 |
| #6 | NK Osijek | 1.28 |
| #7 | HNK Gorica | 1.37 |
| #8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 1.68 |
| #9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.84 |
| #10 | NK Rudeš | 2.20 |
- League avg
- 1.31
- Total
- 13.45 8 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | +1.32 |
| #2 | HNK Rijeka | +0.88 |
| #3 | HNK Hajduk Split | +0.78 |
| #4 | NK Varaždin | +0.53 |
| #5 | NK Osijek | +0.23 |
| #6 | NK Istra 1961 | +0.19 |
| #7 | HNK Gorica | -0.50 |
| #8 | NK Slaven Belupo | -0.76 |
| #9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | -0.79 |
| #10 | NK Rudeš | -1.61 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -6.04 8 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 2.23 |
| #2 | HNK Rijeka | 1.96 |
| #3 | HNK Hajduk Split | 1.93 |
| #4 | NK Varaždin | 1.80 |
| #5 | NK Osijek | 1.53 |
| #6 | NK Istra 1961 | 1.45 |
| #7 | HNK Gorica | 0.95 |
| #8 | NK Slaven Belupo | 0.93 |
| #9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.82 |
| #10 | NK Rudeš | 0.45 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 7.41 vs 7 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
NK Slaven Belupo's underlying numbers are among the weakest in HNL. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.76 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 7 goals are 0.41 below 7.41 xG, while 7 points are 0.41 below 7.41 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
NK Slaven Belupo are 0.41 goals below their xG after 8 matches. The gap was widest at -0.74, against NK Istra 1961 on Sat 15/08.
- Goals
- 7
- xG
- 7.41
- Gap
- -0.41
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31/07 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 0 | 0.49 | -0.49 | -0.49 |
| Sun 09/08 | NK Varaždin | 1 | 0.95 | +0.05 | -0.44 |
| Sat 15/08 | NK Istra 1961 | 0 | 0.30 | -0.30 | -0.74 |
| Sat 22/08 | HNK Gorica | 2 | 1.07 | +0.93 | +0.19 |
| Sun 30/08 | NK Osijek | 0 | 0.88 | -0.88 | -0.69 |
| Sun 06/09 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 2 | 1.37 | +0.63 | -0.06 |
| Sun 13/09 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0 | 0.36 | -0.36 | -0.42 |
| Fri 18/09 | NK Rudeš | 2 | 1.99 | +0.01 | -0.41 |
NK Slaven Belupo xG trend
Current form -0.49 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 2 of 8 matches. The worst was against NK Istra 1961 on Sat 15/08 (-2.55).
- npxG · last 6
- 0.85
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.34
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 31/07 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 0.49 | 2.64 | -2.15 | -2.15 |
| Sun 09/08 | NK Varaždin | 0.95 | 2.49 | -1.54 | -1.85 |
| Sat 15/08 | NK Istra 1961 | 0.30 | 2.85 | -2.55 | -2.08 |
| Sat 22/08 | HNK Gorica | 0.95 | 0.87 | +0.08 | -1.54 |
| Sun 30/08 | NK Osijek | 0.88 | 1.44 | -0.56 | -1.34 |
| Sun 06/09 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1.41 | 1.73 | -0.32 | -1.17 |
| Sun 13/09 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0.36 | 0.68 | -0.32 | -1.05 |
| Fri 18/09 | NK Rudeš | 1.20 | 0.45 | +0.75 | -0.83 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.82 npxG and 1.64 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 7 hardest of 10 in HNL
- −0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 8 league matches
- Last 5
- number 10 hardest of 10 in HNL
- −0.14 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.03 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · number 7 hardest of 10
- NK Rudeš Away −0.51
- HNK Hajduk Split Away +0.38
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Home −0.39
- NK Osijek Away +0.18
- HNK Gorica Home −0.34
- NK Istra 1961 Away −0.20
- NK Varaždin Home +0.13
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb Away +0.52
Last 5
−0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 10
- NK Rudeš Away −0.51
- HNK Hajduk Split Away +0.38
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Home −0.39
- NK Osijek Away +0.18
- HNK Gorica Home −0.34
NK Slaven Belupo shots and chance quality
Low volume, low quality. NK Slaven Belupo take 11.5 shots a match (league 13.7) at 0.07 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #7 in HNL for volume and #9 for quality. 67% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 28% of their npxG (league 21%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 19.6 |
| #2 | NK Osijek | 17.6 |
| #3 | HNK Rijeka | 17.6 |
| #4 | HNK Hajduk Split | 15.5 |
| #5 | NK Varaždin | 14.1 |
| #6 | NK Istra 1961 | 13.0 |
| #7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 11.5 |
| =8 | HNK Gorica | 9.9 |
| =8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 9.9 |
| #10 | NK Rudeš | 9.1 |
- League avg
- 13.7
- Total
- 92 shots from 8 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 0.10 |
| #2 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.10 |
| #3 | NK Istra 1961 | 0.10 |
| #4 | HNK Rijeka | 0.09 |
| #5 | NK Varaždin | 0.09 |
| #6 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0.09 |
| #7 | NK Osijek | 0.08 |
| #8 | HNK Gorica | 0.07 |
| #9 | NK Slaven Belupo | 0.07 |
| #10 | NK Rudeš | 0.06 |
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 6.54 npxG from 92 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 7.5 |
| #2 | HNK Rijeka | 7.9 |
| #3 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 9.1 |
| #4 | NK Varaždin | 12.1 |
| #5 | NK Osijek | 12.6 |
| #6 | NK Istra 1961 | 14.6 |
| #7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 16.5 |
| #8 | HNK Gorica | 16.6 |
| #9 | NK Rudeš | 17.5 |
| #10 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 20.8 |
- League avg
- 13.7
- Total
- 132 shots allowed from 8 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | NK Varaždin | 0.06 |
| #2 | HNK Rijeka | 0.08 |
| #3 | NK Istra 1961 | 0.08 |
| #4 | HNK Gorica | 0.08 |
| #5 | HNK Hajduk Split | 0.09 |
| #6 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0.09 |
| #7 | NK Osijek | 0.09 |
| #8 | NK Rudeš | 0.10 |
| #9 | NK Slaven Belupo | 0.10 |
| #10 | GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 0.10 |
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 13.15 npxGA from 132 shots
Shot profile
67% inside the box
League avg 64%
From 62 of 92 shots over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
64% allowed inside the box
League avg 64%
From 84 of 132 shots allowed over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
72% open play · 28% set pieces
League avg 21% set pieces
From 1.8 of 6.5 npxG over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
82% open play · 18% set pieces
League avg 21% set pieces
From 2.3 of 13.1 npxG allowed over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
NK Slaven Belupo home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 5 |
| xG / match | 1.13 | 0.80 |
| xGA / match | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| xGD / match | -0.66 | -0.81 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.95 | 0.91 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every NK Slaven Belupo match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 8
- xG / match
- 0.93
- xGA / match
- 1.68
- xGD / match
- -0.76
- Points
- 7 of 24
- Fri 18/09 NK Rudeš A Best underlying xG 1.99 P xGA 0.48 xGD +1.51 xPts 2.52
- Sun 13/09 HNK Hajduk Split A xG 0.36 xGA 0.68 xGD -0.32 xPts 0.91
- Sun 06/09 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb H xG 1.37 xGA 1.95 xGD -0.58 xPts 0.95
- Sun 30/08 NK Osijek A xG 0.88 xGA 1.43 xGD -0.55 xPts 0.88
- Sat 22/08 HNK Gorica H xG 1.07 xGA 0.93 xGD +0.14 xPts 1.47
- Sat 15/08 NK Istra 1961 A Weakest underlying xG 0.30 xGA 2.85 xGD -2.55 xPts 0.09
- Sun 09/08 NK Varaždin H xG 0.95 xGA 2.49 xGD -1.54 xPts 0.43
- Fri 31/07 GNK Dinamo Zagreb A xG 0.49 xGA 2.64 xGD -2.15 xPts 0.16
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
NK Slaven Belupo in HNL
Attack
- xG / match #8 of 10
- Shots / match #7 of 10
- Chance quality #9 of 10
- Home xG #7 of 10
- Away xG #5 of 10
Defence
- xGA / match #8 of 10
- Shots allowed #7 of 10
- Chance quality allowed #9 of 10
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.