xgEdge

Club

NK Istra 1961 2026/2027

HNL 2026/2027 →

NK Istra 1961 right now

NK Istra 1961 sit 6th in HNL. A +1.51 xG difference sits behind 9 points from 8 matches, which suggests the results are a fair reflection of the performances. They have outscored their 11.55 xG by 2.45, while conceding 2.96 more than the 10.04 xG against them. They have taken 2.60 fewer points than their chances were worth (11.60), so the table undersells them.

How NK Istra 1961 compares

Open the match page for NK Osijek

Next match HNL · Sat 10/10

Away NK Osijek

1.62 Projected expected goals 0.96
Model probability
NK Osijek
52%
Draw
29%
NK Istra 1961
19%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for HNK Gorica

Last result HNL · Sat 19/09

Home HNK Gorica

0:1 Loss

Expected goals
1.21 – 0.61
xG difference
+0.60

Lost despite creating more

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
3.0 0.0 Sat 01/08 Sat 19/09 Sat 01/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Expected goals 2.35 Sun 09/08 HNK Hajduk Split · Expected goals 0.94 Sat 15/08 NK Slaven Belupo · Expected goals 2.85 Sun 23/08 HNK Rijeka · Expected goals 1.19 Sat 29/08 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Expected goals 0.84 Fri 04/09 NK Varaždin · Expected goals 0.30 Sun 13/09 NK Rudeš · Expected goals 1.87 Sat 19/09 HNK Gorica · Expected goals 1.21 Sat 01/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb · Expected goals conceded 1.16 Sun 09/08 HNK Hajduk Split · Expected goals conceded 1.67 Sat 15/08 NK Slaven Belupo · Expected goals conceded 0.30 Sun 23/08 HNK Rijeka · Expected goals conceded 1.95 Sat 29/08 GNK Dinamo Zagreb · Expected goals conceded 2.06 Fri 04/09 NK Varaždin · Expected goals conceded 1.45 Sun 13/09 NK Rudeš · Expected goals conceded 0.84 Sat 19/09 HNK Gorica · Expected goals conceded 0.61
The season so far 8 matches, as they add up +1.51 xG difference +0.19 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: NK Istra 1961's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 01/08 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Home 2:3 2.35 1.16 +1.19 2
Sun 09/08 HNK Hajduk Split Away 2:2 0.94 1.67 -0.73 2
Sat 15/08 NK Slaven Belupo Home 3:0 2.85 0.30 +2.55 3
Sun 23/08 HNK Rijeka Away 2:3 1.19 1.95 -0.76 2
Sat 29/08 GNK Dinamo Zagreb Home 2:2 0.84 2.06 -1.22 2
Fri 04/09 NK Varaždin Away 0:0 0.30 1.45 -1.15 0
Sun 13/09 NK Rudeš Home 3:2 1.87 0.84 +1.03 3
Sat 19/09 HNK Gorica Home 0:1 1.21 0.61 +0.60 0
The season so far 11.55 10.04 14

Finishing

+2.45

Goals vs xG

Defending

+2.96

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-2.60

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Emil Frederiksen F 6.20 682 min · 7G · xG 3.45 · xA 2.75
Hamza Jaganjac F 3.05 600 min · 4G · xG 2.42 · xA 0.63
Dukan Ahmeti M 2.04 412 min · 2G · xG 1.50 · xA 0.54
Nik Škafar Žužić F 1.39 453 min · 1G · xG 0.47 · xA 0.92
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · HNL 2026/2027 How the model works →