xgEdge

RAAL La Louvière's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses

0 pts 1–10 goals −9 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
2.72 – 7.46
0.68 – 1.87 per match
xGD
-4.74
-1.19 per match
xG record
0 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

0 pts 2.6 xPts

−2.6 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · Jupiler Pro League · Away

RAAL La Louvière's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 0 of 4 matches, for −4.74 xG difference overall on 2.72–7.46. Their points total of 0 sits 2.6 below the model's 2.6 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results RAAL La Louvière are 2.56 points below their xPts.

Points
0
xPts
2.56
Gap
-2.56
Sun 09/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.18 -1.46 -1.65 -2.56 -0.18 -1.28 -0.19 -0.91 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
RAAL La Louvière: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 RSC Anderlecht 0 0.18 -0.18 -0.18
Fri 21/08 Standard Liège 0 1.28 -1.28 -1.46
Sat 05/09 Sint-Truidense VV 0 0.19 -0.19 -1.65
Sat 19/09 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0 0.91 -0.91 -2.56

Scores and xG

RAAL La Louvière first

  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.47

    xGA 0.86

    xGD -0.39

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sat 19/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.91
    Points minus xPts
    -0.91

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.44

    xGA 2.40

    xGD -1.96

    0:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sat 05/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.18
    Points minus xPts
    -0.18

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.07

    xGA 1.15

    xGD -0.08

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Fri 21/08

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.28
    Points minus xPts
    -1.28

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.74

    xGA 3.05

    xGD -2.31

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 09/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.18
    Points minus xPts
    -0.18

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →