xgEdge

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's recorded results for 2025/2026, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 40 of 40 matching results

40 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
25 wins, 11 draws, 4 losses

86 pts (3/1/0) 66–27 goals +39 GD

Chances

No comparable xG available

Comparable xG: 0 of 40 completed results.

40 results have unverified period coverage.

Points vs xPts equivalents Model

xPts unavailable

Matched xPts: 0 of 40 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

A 3/1/0 equivalent of recorded results, not standings points or qualification. The selection's league scoring format is not verified, or it mixes competitions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · Jupiler Pro League · All venues

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise's winning record has no recorded xG behind it in this selection, so it cannot be read against the chances.

Points against xPts, over the selected results

The running totals appear once two of the selected results carry a model figure.

Scores and xG

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.40 – 0.87

    5:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 24/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.17 – 1.46

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Thu 21/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.47 – 2.31

    0:5 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 17/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.52 – 0.37

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sun 10/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.28 – 1.77

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sat 02/05

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.47 – 1.12

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 26/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.14 – 0.26

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Wed 22/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.74 – 0.72

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 19/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.74 – 0.36

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sun 12/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.01 – 0.53

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sat 04/04

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.59 – 1.14

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 22/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.79 – 0.46

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FCV Dender, Sat 14/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.56 – 1.16

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KRC Genk, Sat 07/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.65 – 0.97

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KVC Westerlo, Sun 01/03

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.07 – 0.69

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Sat 21/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.31 – 1.28

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Sat 14/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.60 – 0.86

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Sun 08/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.37 – 0.38

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 01/02

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.38 – 1.19

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sat 24/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.36 – 0.54

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sat 17/01

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.27 – 1.53

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Fri 26/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.09 – 0.81

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sat 20/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.35 – 1.13

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RC Sporting Charleroi, Sun 14/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.23 – 0.60

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Sat 06/12

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.91 – 0.40

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 30/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.96 – 0.56

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sat 22/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.44 – 1.07

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sun 09/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 3.35 – 1.35

    4:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sat 01/11

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.67 – 1.93

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 26/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.88 – 0.72

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RC Sporting Charleroi, Sat 18/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.34 – 0.46

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 05/10

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    0
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.83 – 0.26

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KVC Westerlo, Sat 27/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 0.63 – 0.93

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KRC Genk, Sun 21/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.66 – 0.09

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FCV Dender, Sat 13/09

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.26 – 0.78

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RSC Anderlecht, Sun 31/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 1.00 – 0.19

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Sun 24/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 3.47 – 0.54

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Sat 16/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 3.41 – 1.53

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Sat 09/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.91 – 0.35

    5:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sun 03/08

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    3
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Period basis unverified

    Provider xG / xGA 2.10 – 0.51

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Fri 25/07

    Score and provider xG period coverage has not been verified for this match. Available provider totals are shown without a comparison.

    3/1/0 points equivalent
    1
    Post-match model xPts equivalent
    xPts unavailable

    xPts needs complete, valid xG with verified score and xG period coverage.

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

How the model works →