xgEdge

RSC Anderlecht's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 3 of 3 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses

3 pts 1–4 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
3.52 – 3.47
1.17 – 1.16 per match
xGD
+0.05
+0.02 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Small sample: 3 matches.

Comparable xG: 3 of 3 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

3 pts 4.1 xPts

−1.1 vs xPts

Small sample: 3 matches.

Matched xPts: 3 of 3 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · Away

RSC Anderlecht's mixed record matches the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 3 matches, for +0.05 xG difference overall on 3.52–3.47. Their points total of 3 sits 1.1 below the model's 4.1 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 3 results RSC Anderlecht are 1.14 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -3.08, against Royale Union Saint-Gilloise on Sun 30/08.

Points
3
xPts
4.14
Gap
-1.14
Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 11/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.92 -3.08 -1.14 -1.92 -1.16 +1.94 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
RSC Anderlecht: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 16/08 SK Beveren 0 1.92 -1.92 -1.92
Sun 30/08 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 1.16 -1.16 -3.08
Fri 11/09 KV Mechelen 3 1.06 +1.94 -1.14

Scores and xG

RSC Anderlecht first

  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win against the chances

    xG 0.91

    xGA 1.23

    xGD -0.32

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Fri 11/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.06
    Points minus xPts
    +1.94

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.34

    xGA 1.60

    xGD -0.26

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.16
    Points minus xPts
    -1.16

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss against the chances

    xG 1.27

    xGA 0.64

    xGD +0.63

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Beveren, Sun 16/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.92
    Points minus xPts
    -1.92

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →