xgEdge

Expected goals

Sint-Truidense VV expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Jupiler Pro League · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Sint-Truidense VV's attacking and defensive expected goals in Jupiler Pro League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sint-Truidense VV xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.91 xG per match
#4/18
Attack (xG per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 2.16
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2.09
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.91
#4 Sint-Truidense VV 1.91
#5 Standard Liège 1.79
#6 KRC Genk 1.78
#7 Cercle Brugge 1.69
#8 RSC Anderlecht 1.62
#9 KVC Westerlo 1.45
#10 Royal Antwerp FC 1.34
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.29
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 1.26
#13 KV Mechelen 1.22
#14 KAA Gent 1.16
#15 SK Beveren 1.11
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.01
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.99
#18 Lommel SK 0.94
League avg
1.48
Total
13.37 7 matches
Defence
1.84 xGA per match
#14/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 KAA Gent 0.66
#2 RSC Anderlecht 0.87
#3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.02
#4 RC Sporting Charleroi 1.06
#5 KRC Genk 1.08
#6 Club Brugge KV 1.20
#7 SV Zulte Waregem 1.31
#8 KV Mechelen 1.46
#9 Lommel SK 1.50
#10 Standard Liège 1.53
#11 RAAL La Louvière 1.65
#12 Cercle Brugge 1.75
#13 KVC Westerlo 1.81
#14 Sint-Truidense VV 1.84
#15 SK Beveren 1.86
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1.88
#17 KV Kortrijk 1.92
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 2.30
League avg
1.48
Total
12.90 7 matches
xG difference
+0.07 xGD per match
#8/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise +1.06
#2 Club Brugge KV +0.96
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi +0.86
#4 RSC Anderlecht +0.76
#5 KRC Genk +0.70
#6 KAA Gent +0.50
#7 Standard Liège +0.25
#8 Sint-Truidense VV +0.07
#9 SV Zulte Waregem -0.05
#10 Cercle Brugge -0.07
#11 KV Mechelen -0.24
#12 RAAL La Louvière -0.36
#13 KVC Westerlo -0.37
#14 Lommel SK -0.56
#15 SK Beveren -0.75
#16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven -0.87
#17 KV Kortrijk -0.93
#18 Royal Antwerp FC -0.97
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.47 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.44 xPts per match
#8/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 RC Sporting Charleroi 2.02
#2 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 1.98
#3 Club Brugge KV 1.90
#4 RSC Anderlecht 1.88
#5 KAA Gent 1.81
#6 KRC Genk 1.64
#7 Standard Liège 1.48
#8 Sint-Truidense VV 1.44
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 1.34
#10 Cercle Brugge 1.25
#11 KVC Westerlo 1.24
#12 KV Mechelen 1.19
#13 RAAL La Louvière 1.08
#14 Royal Antwerp FC 1.00
#15 Lommel SK 1.00
#16 SK Beveren 0.95
#17 KV Kortrijk 0.87
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
10.08 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Sint-Truidense VV's underlying numbers sit close to the Jupiler Pro League average. They rank #8 for xG difference at +0.07 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and elite chance quality. Their 12 goals are 1.37 below 13.37 xG, while 8 points are 2.08 below 10.08 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
12 13.37 -1.37 scored 1.37 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
12 12.90 -0.90 conceded 0.90 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 10.08 -2.08 2.08 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sint-Truidense VV are 1.37 goals below their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
12
xG
13.37
Gap
-1.37
Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.98 -0.02 +0.60 -0.25 +1.35 +0.63 -1.37 -0.98 +0.96 +0.62 -0.85 +1.60 -0.72 -2.00 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sint-Truidense VV: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Lommel SK 1 1.98 -0.98 -0.98
Fri 14/08 Cercle Brugge 3 2.04 +0.96 -0.02
Sun 30/08 Royal Antwerp FC 4 3.38 +0.62 +0.60
Wed 02/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.85 -0.85 -0.25
Sat 05/09 RAAL La Louvière 4 2.40 +1.60 +1.35
Sat 12/09 SK Beveren 0 0.72 -0.72 +0.63
Sun 20/09 KVC Westerlo 0 2.00 -2.00 -1.37

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Sint-Truidense VV xG trend

Current form +0.16 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 7 matches. The worst was against Cercle Brugge on Fri 14/08 (-2.20).

npxG · last 6
1.95
npxGA · last 6
1.79
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.29 Sat 08/08 -2.20 Fri 14/08 +2.61 Sun 30/08 -1.56 Wed 02/09 +1.96 Sat 05/09 -0.19 Sat 12/09 +0.32 Sun 20/09 +0.32 season avg
Sint-Truidense VV: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 08/08 Lommel SK 1.99 0.70 +1.29 +1.29
Fri 14/08 Cercle Brugge 2.05 4.25 -2.20 -0.46
Sun 30/08 Royal Antwerp FC 3.38 0.77 +2.61 +0.57
Wed 02/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.93 2.49 -1.56 +0.03
Sat 05/09 RAAL La Louvière 2.40 0.44 +1.96 +0.42
Sat 12/09 SK Beveren 0.72 0.91 -0.19 +0.32
Sun 20/09 KVC Westerlo 2.19 1.87 +0.32 +0.32

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.95 npxG and 1.63 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 15 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 18 in Jupiler Pro League
−0.07 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 15 hardest of 18

  1. KVC Westerlo Home −0.09
  2. SK Beveren Away −0.38
  3. RAAL La Louvière Home −0.30
  4. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65
  5. Royal Antwerp FC Away −0.25
  6. Cercle Brugge Away +0.16
  7. Lommel SK Home −0.43

Last 5

−0.07 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. KVC Westerlo Home −0.09
  2. SK Beveren Away −0.38
  3. RAAL La Louvière Home −0.30
  4. Royale Union Saint-Gilloise Home +0.65
  5. Royal Antwerp FC Away −0.25

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sint-Truidense VV shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. Sint-Truidense VV take 17.3 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =3 in Jupiler Pro League for volume and #3 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 19% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.3 shots per match
=3/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Club Brugge KV 18.7
#2 RC Sporting Charleroi 18.0
=3 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 17.3
=3 Sint-Truidense VV 17.3
#5 RSC Anderlecht 16.6
#6 KVC Westerlo 15.3
#7 Royal Antwerp FC 15.1
#8 Cercle Brugge 14.7
#9 KRC Genk 14.1
#10 Standard Liège 14.0
#11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 13.1
#12 SV Zulte Waregem 12.9
#13 KAA Gent 12.4
#14 KV Mechelen 11.9
#15 KV Kortrijk 11.7
#16 RAAL La Louvière 10.9
#17 SK Beveren 10.7
#18 Lommel SK 10.0
League avg
14.2
Total
121 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#3/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.12
#2 Standard Liège 0.11
#3 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#4 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#5 KRC Genk 0.11
#6 Club Brugge KV 0.10
#7 Cercle Brugge 0.10
#8 RSC Anderlecht 0.10
#9 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#10 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.10
#11 SK Beveren 0.09
#12 KVC Westerlo 0.09
#13 KV Kortrijk 0.09
#14 KAA Gent 0.09
#15 KV Mechelen 0.09
#16 Royal Antwerp FC 0.08
#17 Lommel SK 0.08
#18 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
13.66 npxG from 121 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.9 shots per match
=10/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 RSC Anderlecht 9.9
#2 KAA Gent 10.3
#3 RC Sporting Charleroi 11.0
#4 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 11.3
#5 SV Zulte Waregem 12.1
#6 Club Brugge KV 13.1
#7 Cercle Brugge 13.6
#8 KV Mechelen 14.3
#9 KRC Genk 14.7
=10 KV Kortrijk 14.9
=10 Sint-Truidense VV 14.9
=12 KVC Westerlo 15.0
=12 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 15.0
#14 Standard Liège 15.3
#15 SK Beveren 15.6
#16 RAAL La Louvière 15.7
#17 Royal Antwerp FC 17.1
#18 Lommel SK 21.0
League avg
14.2
Total
104 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#13/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Jupiler Pro League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KRC Genk 0.07
#2 KAA Gent 0.07
#3 Lommel SK 0.07
#4 Standard Liège 0.08
#5 RSC Anderlecht 0.09
#6 RC Sporting Charleroi 0.09
#7 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0.09
#8 Club Brugge KV 0.09
#9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 0.10
#10 SV Zulte Waregem 0.10
#11 KV Mechelen 0.11
#12 RAAL La Louvière 0.11
#13 Sint-Truidense VV 0.11
#14 SK Beveren 0.11
#15 Cercle Brugge 0.11
#16 KV Kortrijk 0.11
#17 KVC Westerlo 0.11
#18 Royal Antwerp FC 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
11.43 npxGA from 104 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

69% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 84 of 121 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

64% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 67 of 104 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.6 of 13.7 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

70% open play · 30% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 3.4 of 11.5 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Sint-Truidense VV home and away xG

Sint-Truidense VV per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.81 2.05
xGA / match 1.57 2.20
xGD / match +0.24 -0.16
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.57 1.26

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sint-Truidense VV match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

At home this season

Matches
4
xG / match
1.81
xGA / match
1.57
xGD / match
+0.23
Points
4 of 12
  1. Sun 20/09 KVC Westerlo H xG 2.00 xGA 1.87 xGD +0.13
  2. Sat 05/09 RAAL La Louvière H xG 2.40 xGA 0.44 xGD +1.96
  3. Wed 02/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H xG 0.85 xGA 2.49 xGD -1.64
  4. Sat 08/08 Lommel SK H xG 1.98 xGA 1.49 P xGD +0.49

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sint-Truidense VV in Jupiler Pro League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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