xgEdge

Standard Liège's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
3 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses

11 pts 13–12 goals +1 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
12.50 – 10.72
1.79 – 1.53 per match
xGD
+1.78
+0.25 per match
xG record
2 with the chances, 3 with even chances, 2 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

11 pts 10.4 xPts

+0.6 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · All competitions · All venues

Standard Liège's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches, for +1.78 xG difference overall on 12.50–10.72. Their points total of 11 lands on the model's 10.4 xPts, so the results have followed the chances closely.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results Standard Liège are 0.64 points above their xPts. The gap was widest at +3.02, against Royal Antwerp FC on Sat 05/09.

Points
11
xPts
10.36
Gap
+0.64
Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -1.13 -0.84 +0.76 +2.78 +3.02 +1.83 +0.64 -1.13 +0.29 +1.60 +2.02 +0.24 -1.19 -1.19 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Standard Liège: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 08/08 Cercle Brugge 1 2.13 -1.13 -1.13
Sun 16/08 KV Mechelen 1 0.71 +0.29 -0.84
Fri 21/08 RAAL La Louvière 3 1.40 +1.60 +0.76
Sat 29/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 0.98 +2.02 +2.78
Sat 05/09 Royal Antwerp FC 3 2.76 +0.24 +3.02
Sat 12/09 KVC Westerlo 0 1.19 -1.19 +1.83
Fri 18/09 KAA Gent 0 1.19 -1.19 +0.64

Scores and xG

Standard Liège first

  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.11

    xGA 1.30

    xGD -0.19

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KAA Gent, Fri 18/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.19
    Points minus xPts
    -1.19

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.22

    xGA 1.41

    xGD -0.19

    2:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KVC Westerlo, Sat 12/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.19
    Points minus xPts
    -1.19

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.42

    xGA 0.83

    xGD +2.59

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royal Antwerp FC, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.76
    Points minus xPts
    +0.24

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win against the chances

    xG 1.36

    xGA 1.89

    xGD -0.53

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sat 29/08

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    0.98
    Points minus xPts
    +2.02

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win with even chances

    xG 1.15

    xGA 1.07

    xGD +0.08

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · RAAL La Louvière, Fri 21/08

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.40
    Points minus xPts
    +1.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.64

    xGA 2.75

    xGD -1.11

    3:3 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sun 16/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.71
    Points minus xPts
    +0.29

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 2.60

    xGA 1.47

    xGD +1.13

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sat 08/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.13
    Points minus xPts
    -1.13

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

RAAL La Louvière 2:0

· Home xG / xGA 1.15 – 1.07

Goal difference
+2
xGD
+0.08
GD minus xGD
+1.92

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

KVC Westerlo 2:4

· Away xG / xGA 1.22 – 1.41

Goal difference
-2
xGD
-0.19
GD minus xGD
-1.81

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →