Atlético Madrid 3:2 Athletic Club: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 2.09 xG · 6 shots

Athletic Club Away 0.80 xG · 12 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

23' Aitor Paredes Athletic Club · 0.10 xG chance 0–1
49' Antoine Griezmann Atlético Madrid · 0.48 xG chance 1–1
54' Alexander Sørloth Atlético Madrid · 0.70 xG chance 2–1
90' Alexander Sørloth Atlético Madrid · 0.42 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Gorka Guruzeta Athletic Club · 0.10 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Athletic Club

Shots: 6; 12
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.31; 0.05
Open play xG: 1.71; 0.34
Set-piece xG: 0.12; 0.25
Penalties: —; —

Atlético Madrid's shots add up to 1.83 xG and Athletic Club's to 0.59; the published figures are 2.09 and 0.80.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 2.42 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atlético Madrid
Athletic Club
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.26 xG created 1.81 xGA

W 2.29 created, 0.41 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.48 created, 1.18 conceded against Getafe
L 1.00 created, 2.42 conceded against Real Madrid
L 0.92 created, 2.22 conceded against Barcelona
L 0.84 created, 1.85 conceded against Sevilla
L 1.01 created, 2.78 conceded against Elche

Athletic Club

1.01 xG created 1.19 xGA

L 0.86 created, 0.45 conceded against Barcelona
L 1.76 created, 1.52 conceded against Girona FC
W 1.25 created, 0.48 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.49 created, 2.15 conceded against Getafe
L 1.16 created, 1.31 conceded against Villarreal
W 0.54 created, 1.21 conceded against Osasuna

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atlético Madrid: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Athletic Club 1:0 Atlético Madrid 06/12/2025 xG 1.15 – 0.69

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.