Atlético Madrid 3:2 Real Sociedad: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 07/03/2026 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 2.29 xG · 24 shots

Real Sociedad Away 0.41 xG · 7 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

5' Alexander Sørloth Atlético Madrid · 0.22 xG chance 1–0
9' Carlos Soler Real Sociedad · 0.16 xG chance 1–1
67' Nicolás González Atlético Madrid · 0.28 xG chance 2–1
68' Mikel Oyarzabal Real Sociedad · 0.06 xG chance 2–2
81' Nicolás González Atlético Madrid · 0.04 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Real Sociedad

Shots: 24; 7
On target: 9; 3
Inside the box: 20; 4
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.06
Open play xG: 1.34; 0.40
Set-piece xG: 0.92; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.29 for Atlético Madrid and 0.41 for Real Sociedad.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 2.66 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atlético Madrid
Real Sociedad
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.33 xG created 0.92 xGA

W 1.48 created, 0.46 conceded against Mallorca
D 0.90 created, 0.37 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.66 created, 0.94 conceded against Real Betis
L 1.10 created, 1.56 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.89 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
W 0.97 created, 1.10 conceded against Real Oviedo

Real Sociedad

1.69 xG created 1.49 xGA

W 1.61 created, 1.22 conceded against Celta Vigo
D 1.83 created, 1.07 conceded against Athletic Club
W 2.59 created, 1.18 conceded against Elche
L 1.67 created, 3.10 conceded against Real Madrid
D 2.00 created, 1.68 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 0.46 created, 0.66 conceded against Mallorca

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atlético Madrid: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Real Sociedad 1:1 Atlético Madrid 04/01/2026 xG 1.73 – 1.25

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.