Atlético Madrid 1:2 Barcelona: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Atlético Madrid Home 0.92 xG · 6 shots

Barcelona Away 2.22 xG · 22 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

39' Giuliano Simeone Atlético Madrid · 0.37 xG chance 1–0
42' Marcus Rashford Barcelona · 0.29 xG chance 1–1
87' Robert Lewandowski Barcelona · 0.54 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Atlético Madrid Barcelona

Shots: 6; 22
On target: 2; 8
Inside the box: 4; 15
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.74; 2.00
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.32
Penalties: —; —

Atlético Madrid's shots add up to 0.88 xG and Barcelona's to 2.32; the published figures are 0.92 and 2.22.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 3.20 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Atlético Madrid
Barcelona
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Atlético Madrid

1.62 xG created 1.29 xGA

L 1.10 created, 1.56 conceded against Rayo Vallecano
W 2.89 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
W 0.97 created, 1.10 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 2.29 created, 0.41 conceded against Real Sociedad
W 1.48 created, 1.18 conceded against Getafe
L 1.00 created, 2.42 conceded against Real Madrid

Barcelona

2.33 xG created 1.35 xGA

L 2.93 created, 2.76 conceded against Girona FC
W 2.92 created, 0.53 conceded against Levante UD
W 2.96 created, 1.29 conceded against Villarreal
W 0.45 created, 0.86 conceded against Athletic Club
W 3.36 created, 0.83 conceded against Sevilla
W 1.36 created, 1.83 conceded against Rayo Vallecano

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Atlético Madrid: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Barcelona 3:1 Atlético Madrid 02/12/2025 xG 3.60 – 0.98

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.