Barcelona 1:0 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 22/03/2026 at 14:00

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Match report · La Liga

Barcelona Home 1.36 xG · 15 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 1.83 xG · 8 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

24' Ronald Araújo Barcelona · 0.20 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Barcelona Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 15; 8
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.23
Open play xG: 1.10; 1.36
Set-piece xG: 0.30; 0.44
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.36 for Barcelona and 1.83 for Rayo Vallecano.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 3.20 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Barcelona

2.54 xG created 1.18 xGA

W 2.63 created, 0.80 conceded against Mallorca
L 2.93 created, 2.76 conceded against Girona FC
W 2.92 created, 0.53 conceded against Levante UD
W 2.96 created, 1.29 conceded against Villarreal
W 0.45 created, 0.86 conceded against Athletic Club
W 3.36 created, 0.83 conceded against Sevilla

Rayo Vallecano

1.37 xG created 1.13 xGA

W 1.56 created, 1.10 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 0.83 created, 1.83 conceded against Real Betis
D 1.33 created, 0.54 conceded against Athletic Club
W 2.45 created, 0.99 conceded against Real Oviedo
D 0.31 created, 1.05 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.73 created, 1.24 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Barcelona: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Rayo Vallecano 1:1 Barcelona 31/08/2025 xG 1.85 – 1.83

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.