Sevilla 1:1 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · La Liga

Sevilla Home 1.05 xG · 11 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 0.31 xG · 9 shots

11 Sevilla had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

13' Akor Adams Sevilla · 0.49 xG chance 1–0
50' Pacha Rayo Vallecano · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Sevilla Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 11; 9
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 7; 2
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.03
Open play xG: 0.57; 0.28
Set-piece xG: 0.49; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.05 for Sevilla.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.37 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sevilla

0.87 xG created 1.63 xGA

W 2.09 created, 1.74 conceded against Athletic Club
L 0.84 created, 2.63 conceded against Mallorca
D 0.81 created, 2.45 conceded against Girona FC
D 0.27 created, 1.06 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
W 0.28 created, 0.32 conceded against Getafe
D 0.94 created, 1.58 conceded against Real Betis

Rayo Vallecano

1.32 xG created 1.30 xGA

L 0.78 created, 1.18 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.96 created, 2.14 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.56 created, 1.10 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 0.83 created, 1.83 conceded against Real Betis
D 1.33 created, 0.54 conceded against Athletic Club
W 2.45 created, 0.99 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Sevilla: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Rayo Vallecano 0:1 Sevilla 28/09/2025 xG 1.89 – 0.63

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.