Rayo Vallecano 1:3 Osasuna: xG & match report · La Liga

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 14:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 0.78 xG · 11 shots

Osasuna Away 1.18 xG · 15 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

29' Ante Budimir Osasuna · 0.27 xG chance 0–1
59' Pathé Ismaël Ciss Rayo Vallecano · 0.28 xG chance 1–1
90' Asier Osambela Osasuna · 0.28 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Jozhua Vertrouwd (o.g.) Osasuna · 0.10 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Osasuna

Shots: 11; 15
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 6; 6
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.39; 0.60
Set-piece xG: 0.37; 0.71
Penalties: —; —

Rayo Vallecano's shots add up to 0.76 xG and Osasuna's to 1.31; the published figures are 0.78 and 1.18.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Osasuna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.19 xG created 1.31 xGA

L 0.25 created, 1.33 conceded against Espanyol
D 1.55 created, 0.76 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.92 created, 2.40 conceded against Elche
D 0.89 created, 0.77 conceded against Getafe
W 2.37 created, 0.72 conceded against Mallorca
L 1.18 created, 1.87 conceded against Celta Vigo

Osasuna

1.14 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 0.81 created, 0.46 conceded against Levante UD
L 0.37 created, 2.41 conceded against Barcelona
W 2.21 created, 0.57 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
D 0.67 created, 1.46 conceded against Athletic Club
L 1.41 created, 0.65 conceded against Girona FC
W 1.37 created, 1.34 conceded against Real Oviedo

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Osasuna 2:0 Rayo Vallecano 14/09/2025 xG 1.77 – 1.04

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.