Espanyol 1:0 Rayo Vallecano: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 07/12/2025 at 18:30

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Match report · La Liga

Espanyol Home 1.33 xG · 9 shots

Rayo Vallecano Away 0.25 xG · 6 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

39' Roberto Fernández (pen.) Espanyol · 0.82 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Espanyol Rayo Vallecano

Shots: 9; 6
On target: 2; 2
Inside the box: 6; 2
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.04
Open play xG: 0.22; 0.15
Set-piece xG: 0.32; 0.11
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.54 for Espanyol and 0.25 for Rayo Vallecano.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

15 shots · 1.62 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Espanyol

1.47 xG created 1.18 xGA

W 3.74 created, 0.77 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 1.93 created, 0.86 conceded against Elche
L 1.18 created, 1.43 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.50 created, 1.61 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.06 created, 1.75 conceded against Sevilla
W 0.38 created, 0.63 conceded against Celta Vigo

Rayo Vallecano

1.20 xG created 1.15 xGA

W 1.55 created, 0.91 conceded against Levante UD
W 1.18 created, 0.84 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 1.02 created, 3.02 conceded against Villarreal
D 1.20 created, 0.98 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.95 created, 0.43 conceded against Real Oviedo
D 1.30 created, 0.71 conceded against Valencia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.