Rayo Vallecano 3:0 Real Oviedo: xG & match report · La Liga

Wednesday, 04/03/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Rayo Vallecano Home 2.45 xG · 19 shots

Real Oviedo Away 0.99 xG · 8 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

44' Jorge de Frutos Rayo Vallecano · 0.61 xG chance 1–0
50' Jorge de Frutos (pen.) Rayo Vallecano · 0.82 xG chance 2–0
62' Álvaro García Rayo Vallecano · 0.11 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Rayo Vallecano Real Oviedo

Shots: 19; 8
On target: 7; 2
Inside the box: 12; 5
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.13
Open play xG: 1.56; 0.72
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.30
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.69 for Rayo Vallecano and 1.00 for Real Oviedo.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 3.55 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Rayo Vallecano
Real Oviedo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Rayo Vallecano

1.11 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 1.18 created, 1.87 conceded against Celta Vigo
L 0.78 created, 1.18 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.96 created, 2.14 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.56 created, 1.10 conceded against Atlético Madrid
D 0.83 created, 1.83 conceded against Real Betis
D 1.33 created, 0.54 conceded against Athletic Club

Real Oviedo

1.05 xG created 1.41 xGA

L 1.34 created, 1.37 conceded against Osasuna
L 0.46 created, 2.32 conceded against Barcelona
W 1.34 created, 0.61 conceded against Girona FC
L 0.36 created, 1.20 conceded against Athletic Club
D 1.68 created, 2.00 conceded against Real Sociedad
L 1.10 created, 0.97 conceded against Atlético Madrid

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Rayo Vallecano: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Real Oviedo 0:0 Rayo Vallecano 23/11/2025 xG 0.43 – 0.95

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.