Sevilla 0:1 Celta Vigo: xG & match report · La Liga

Monday, 12/01/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · La Liga

Sevilla Home 0.27 xG · 7 shots

Celta Vigo Away 1.63 xG · 9 shots

01 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

88' Marcos Alonso (pen.) Celta Vigo · 0.82 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Sevilla Celta Vigo

Shots: 7; 9
On target: 2; 7
Inside the box: 3; 7
xG per shot: 0.04; 0.19
Open play xG: 0.24; 0.89
Set-piece xG: 0.05; 0.00
Penalties: 0; 1

Sevilla's shots add up to 0.29 xG and Celta Vigo's to 1.71; the published figures are 0.27 and 1.63.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

16 shots · 2.00 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Sevilla
Celta Vigo
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Sevilla

1.29 xG created 1.24 xGA

L 1.75 created, 1.06 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.37 created, 1.17 conceded against Real Betis
D 0.32 created, 1.19 conceded against Valencia
W 2.03 created, 0.64 conceded against Real Oviedo
L 1.56 created, 2.33 conceded against Real Madrid
L 1.70 created, 1.03 conceded against Levante UD

Celta Vigo

1.39 xG created 1.26 xGA

W 1.37 created, 0.67 conceded against Deportivo Alavés
L 0.63 created, 0.38 conceded against Espanyol
W 1.55 created, 2.29 conceded against Real Madrid
W 1.40 created, 1.62 conceded against Athletic Club
D 0.66 created, 0.63 conceded against Real Oviedo
W 2.70 created, 1.94 conceded against Valencia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.