Valencia 3:2 Deportivo Alavés: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 08/03/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Valencia Home 2.63 xG · 19 shots

Deportivo Alavés Away 1.33 xG · 10 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

3' Lucas Boyé (pen.) Deportivo Alavés · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
47' Javier Guerra Valencia · 0.45 xG chance 1–1
71' Lucas Boyé Deportivo Alavés · 0.13 xG chance 1–2
90' Eray Cömert Valencia · 0.21 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.
90' Hugo Duro (pen.) Valencia · 0.82 xG chance – Scored in the same minute as another goal, so the score after it is not shown.

The shots behind it

Valencia Deportivo Alavés

Shots: 19; 10
On target: 8; 4
Inside the box: 13; 7
xG per shot: 0.14; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.29; 0.38
Set-piece xG: 0.58; 0.18
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.87 for Valencia and 0.54 for Deportivo Alavés.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 4.07 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Valencia
Deportivo Alavés
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Valencia

1.46 xG created 1.20 xGA

W 2.55 created, 1.35 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.89 created, 1.82 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.44 created, 1.03 conceded against Real Madrid
W 0.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Levante UD
L 1.55 created, 2.06 conceded against Villarreal
W 1.67 created, 0.31 conceded against Osasuna

Deportivo Alavés

1.46 xG created 1.49 xGA

W 1.27 created, 1.38 conceded against Real Betis
W 1.24 created, 0.69 conceded against Espanyol
L 2.02 created, 1.90 conceded against Getafe
D 1.06 created, 0.27 conceded against Sevilla
D 1.87 created, 2.22 conceded against Girona FC
L 1.31 created, 2.48 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Valencia: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Deportivo Alavés 0:0 Valencia 20/10/2025 xG 0.74 – 0.45

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.