Villarreal 2:1 Valencia: xG & match report · La Liga

Sunday, 22/02/2026 at 21:00

Full time

Match report · La Liga

Villarreal Home 2.06 xG · 12 shots

Valencia Away 1.55 xG · 8 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Largie Ramazani (pen.) Valencia · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
31' Santi Comesaña Villarreal · 0.57 xG chance 1–1
45' Pape Gueye (pen.) Villarreal · 0.82 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Villarreal Valencia

Shots: 12; 8
On target: 5; 3
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.21
Open play xG: 1.01; 0.75
Set-piece xG: 0.26; 0.07
Penalties: 1; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.27 for Villarreal and 0.81 for Valencia.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 3.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Villarreal
Valencia
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Villarreal

1.06 xG created 1.15 xGA

L 0.99 created, 1.22 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.58 created, 1.58 conceded against Real Madrid
D 0.92 created, 1.12 conceded against Osasuna
W 0.76 created, 0.43 conceded against Espanyol
L 0.68 created, 1.48 conceded against Getafe
W 2.40 created, 1.05 conceded against Levante UD

Valencia

1.42 xG created 0.94 xGA

D 1.96 created, 0.16 conceded against Elche
W 1.02 created, 0.62 conceded against Getafe
W 2.55 created, 1.35 conceded against Espanyol
L 1.89 created, 1.82 conceded against Real Betis
L 0.44 created, 1.03 conceded against Real Madrid
W 0.68 created, 0.63 conceded against Levante UD

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Villarreal: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Valencia 0:2 Villarreal 25/10/2025 xG 0.80 – 2.18

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.