Villarreal's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Villarreal xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 4.07 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 2.64 |
| #3 | Villarreal | 2.38 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 1.72 |
| #5 | Athletic Club | 1.64 |
| #6 | Real Betis | 1.52 |
| #7 | Racing de Santander | 1.45 |
| #8 | Levante UD | 1.33 |
| #9 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.28 |
| #10 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.27 |
| #11 | Espanyol | 1.24 |
| #12 | Osasuna | 1.24 |
| #13 | Elche | 1.24 |
| #14 | Real Sociedad | 1.19 |
| #15 | Celta Vigo | 1.01 |
| #16 | Sevilla | 0.99 |
| #17 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.97 |
| #18 | Valencia | 0.87 |
| #19 | Málaga | 0.84 |
| #20 | Getafe | 0.69 |
- League avg
- 1.48
- Total
- 16.64 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Atlético Madrid | 1.02 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 1.09 |
| #3 | Barcelona | 1.09 |
| #4 | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.15 |
| #5 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.19 |
| #6 | Villarreal | 1.25 |
| #7 | Celta Vigo | 1.26 |
| #8 | Getafe | 1.27 |
| #9 | Sevilla | 1.30 |
| #10 | Athletic Club | 1.36 |
| #11 | Espanyol | 1.36 |
| #12 | Osasuna | 1.39 |
| #13 | Valencia | 1.64 |
| #14 | Málaga | 1.66 |
| #15 | Real Sociedad | 1.68 |
| #16 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.76 |
| #17 | Real Betis | 1.86 |
| #18 | Elche | 2.01 |
| #19 | Levante UD | 2.08 |
| #20 | Racing de Santander | 2.20 |
- League avg
- 1.48
- Total
- 8.77 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | +2.99 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | +1.55 |
| #3 | Villarreal | +1.12 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | +0.70 |
| #5 | Athletic Club | +0.28 |
| #6 | Deportivo Alavés | +0.09 |
| #7 | Espanyol | -0.12 |
| #8 | Osasuna | -0.15 |
| #9 | Deportivo La Coruña | -0.18 |
| #10 | Celta Vigo | -0.26 |
| #11 | Sevilla | -0.31 |
| #12 | Real Betis | -0.34 |
| #13 | Rayo Vallecano | -0.50 |
| #14 | Real Sociedad | -0.50 |
| #15 | Getafe | -0.57 |
| #16 | Levante UD | -0.75 |
| #17 | Racing de Santander | -0.76 |
| #18 | Elche | -0.77 |
| #19 | Valencia | -0.78 |
| #20 | Málaga | -0.83 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +7.87 7 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 2.66 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 2.27 |
| #3 | Villarreal | 1.92 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 1.86 |
| #5 | Athletic Club | 1.82 |
| #6 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.44 |
| #7 | Osasuna | 1.36 |
| #8 | Espanyol | 1.35 |
| #9 | Sevilla | 1.30 |
| #10 | Celta Vigo | 1.28 |
| #11 | Real Betis | 1.20 |
| #12 | Real Sociedad | 1.17 |
| #13 | Elche | 1.14 |
| #14 | Racing de Santander | 1.14 |
| #15 | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.14 |
| #16 | Rayo Vallecano | 1.12 |
| #17 | Levante UD | 1.04 |
| #18 | Getafe | 0.92 |
| #19 | Valencia | 0.91 |
| #20 | Málaga | 0.86 |
- League avg
- 1.39
- Total
- 13.47 vs 8 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Villarreal's underlying numbers are among the best in La Liga. They rank #3 for xG difference at +1.12 per match, driven by both high shot volume and high chance quality. Their 13 goals are 3.64 below 16.64 xG, while 8 points are 5.47 below 13.47 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Villarreal are 3.64 goals below their xG after 7 matches.
- Goals
- 13
- xG
- 16.64
- Gap
- -3.64
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 16/08 | Racing de Santander | 2 | 0.67 | +1.33 | +1.33 |
| Sun 23/08 | Atlético Madrid | 2 | 3.60 | -1.60 | -0.27 |
| Fri 28/08 | Deportivo Alavés | 0 | 1.74 | -1.74 | -2.01 |
| Sat 05/09 | Deportivo La Coruña | 2 | 1.14 | +0.86 | -1.15 |
| Mon 14/09 | Real Betis | 1 | 1.89 | -0.89 | -2.04 |
| Thu 17/09 | Málaga | 3 | 3.33 | -0.33 | -2.37 |
| Sun 20/09 | Levante UD | 3 | 4.27 | -1.27 | -3.64 |
Villarreal xG trend
Current form +1.03 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 5 of 7 matches. The worst was against Real Betis on Mon 14/09 (-1.53).
- npxG · last 6
- 2.19
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.16
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 16/08 | Racing de Santander | 0.87 | 1.22 | -0.35 | -0.35 |
| Sun 23/08 | Atlético Madrid | 2.02 | 0.71 | +1.31 | +0.48 |
| Fri 28/08 | Deportivo Alavés | 1.28 | 0.81 | +0.47 | +0.48 |
| Sat 05/09 | Deportivo La Coruña | 1.24 | 0.79 | +0.45 | +0.47 |
| Mon 14/09 | Real Betis | 2.03 | 3.56 | -1.53 | +0.07 |
| Thu 17/09 | Málaga | 2.55 | 0.65 | +1.90 | +0.37 |
| Sun 20/09 | Levante UD | 4.03 | 0.46 | +3.57 | +0.83 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.00 npxG and 1.17 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 16 hardest of 20 in La Liga
- −0.07 xG vs league average
- Over 7 league matches
- Last 5
- number 15 hardest of 20 in La Liga
- −0.10 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.07 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 16 hardest of 20
- Levante UD Home 0.00
- Málaga Away −0.38
- Real Betis Home +0.04
- Deportivo La Coruña Home −0.24
- Deportivo Alavés Away +0.10
- Atlético Madrid Away +0.34
- Racing de Santander Away −0.33
Last 5
−0.10 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 20
- Levante UD Home 0.00
- Málaga Away −0.38
- Real Betis Home +0.04
- Deportivo La Coruña Home −0.24
- Deportivo Alavés Away +0.10
Villarreal shots and chance quality
High volume, high quality. Villarreal take 16.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #5 in La Liga for volume and #4 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 15% of their npxG (league 20%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 21.4 |
| #2 | Real Madrid | 18.9 |
| #3 | Real Betis | 17.4 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 16.9 |
| #5 | Villarreal | 16.0 |
| #6 | Athletic Club | 15.7 |
| #7 | Espanyol | 13.6 |
| =8 | Rayo Vallecano | 13.4 |
| =8 | Real Sociedad | 13.4 |
| #10 | Deportivo Alavés | 12.4 |
| #11 | Getafe | 11.7 |
| #12 | Elche | 11.3 |
| #13 | Sevilla | 11.0 |
| #14 | Levante UD | 10.7 |
| #15 | Valencia | 10.6 |
| =16 | Celta Vigo | 10.3 |
| =16 | Racing de Santander | 10.3 |
| #18 | Deportivo La Coruña | 10.1 |
| #19 | Málaga | 10.0 |
| #20 | Osasuna | 9.4 |
- League avg
- 13.2
- Total
- 112 shots from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 0.16 |
| #2 | Levante UD | 0.13 |
| #3 | Real Madrid | 0.13 |
| #4 | Villarreal | 0.13 |
| #5 | Deportivo Alavés | 0.11 |
| #6 | Racing de Santander | 0.10 |
| #7 | Elche | 0.10 |
| #8 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.10 |
| #9 | Osasuna | 0.10 |
| #10 | Rayo Vallecano | 0.09 |
| #11 | Athletic Club | 0.09 |
| #12 | Espanyol | 0.09 |
| #13 | Real Betis | 0.09 |
| #14 | Atlético Madrid | 0.09 |
| #15 | Valencia | 0.08 |
| #16 | Celta Vigo | 0.08 |
| #17 | Real Sociedad | 0.08 |
| #18 | Sevilla | 0.07 |
| #19 | Málaga | 0.06 |
| #20 | Getafe | 0.06 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 14.02 npxG from 112 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Barcelona | 7.3 |
| #2 | Athletic Club | 9.5 |
| #3 | Atlético Madrid | 9.7 |
| #4 | Sevilla | 11.3 |
| #5 | Espanyol | 12.0 |
| #6 | Deportivo Alavés | 12.1 |
| #7 | Celta Vigo | 12.4 |
| =8 | Osasuna | 12.7 |
| =8 | Real Madrid | 12.7 |
| =10 | Deportivo La Coruña | 12.9 |
| =10 | Villarreal | 12.9 |
| #12 | Getafe | 13.3 |
| #13 | Málaga | 14.9 |
| #14 | Levante UD | 15.2 |
| =15 | Elche | 15.3 |
| =15 | Valencia | 15.3 |
| #17 | Real Betis | 15.7 |
| #18 | Real Sociedad | 15.9 |
| #19 | Rayo Vallecano | 16.6 |
| #20 | Racing de Santander | 16.7 |
- League avg
- 13.2
- Total
- 90 shots allowed from 7 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Deportivo Alavés | 0.07 |
| #2 | Getafe | 0.07 |
| #3 | Real Madrid | 0.08 |
| #4 | Atlético Madrid | 0.08 |
| #5 | Rayo Vallecano | 0.09 |
| #6 | Deportivo La Coruña | 0.09 |
| #7 | Villarreal | 0.09 |
| #8 | Celta Vigo | 0.09 |
| #9 | Real Sociedad | 0.10 |
| #10 | Málaga | 0.10 |
| #11 | Athletic Club | 0.10 |
| #12 | Valencia | 0.10 |
| #13 | Racing de Santander | 0.11 |
| #14 | Espanyol | 0.11 |
| #15 | Sevilla | 0.11 |
| #16 | Osasuna | 0.11 |
| #17 | Real Betis | 0.12 |
| #18 | Levante UD | 0.12 |
| #19 | Elche | 0.12 |
| #20 | Barcelona | 0.15 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 8.20 npxGA from 90 shots
Shot profile
69% inside the box
League avg 62%
From 77 of 112 shots over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
61% allowed inside the box
League avg 62%
From 55 of 90 shots allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
85% open play · 15% set pieces
League avg 20% set pieces
From 2.1 of 13.7 npxG over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
80% open play · 20% set pieces
League avg 20% set pieces
From 1.7 of 8.2 npxG allowed over 7 matches
Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.
Villarreal home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| xG / match | 2.43 | 2.34 |
| xGA / match | 1.59 | 1.00 |
| xGD / match | +0.85 | +1.33 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.72 | 2.08 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Villarreal match by xG
Away this season
- Matches
- 4
- xG / match
- 2.34
- xGA / match
- 1.00
- xGD / match
- +1.33
- Points
- 5 of 12
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.60. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Villarreal in La Liga
Attack
- xG / match #3 of 20
- Shots / match #5 of 20
- Chance quality #4 of 20
- Home xG #4 of 20
- Away xG #3 of 20
Defence
- xGA / match #6 of 20
- Shots allowed =10 of 20
- Chance quality allowed #7 of 20
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.