FC Alverca 2:2 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 15/08/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

FC Alverca Home 1.75 xG · 14 shots

CF Estrela Amadora Away 1.29 xG · 10 shots

22 FC Alverca had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

51' Leandro Antonetti CF Estrela Amadora · 0.13 xG chance 0–1
58' Ian Luccas FC Alverca · 0.22 xG chance 1–1
62' Vivaldo FC Alverca · 0.74 xG chance 2–1
69' Abraham Marcus CF Estrela Amadora · 0.11 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

FC Alverca CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 14; 10
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 10; 8
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.15
Open play xG: 1.64; 1.37
Set-piece xG: 0.08; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.75 for FC Alverca and 1.49 for CF Estrela Amadora.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 3.20 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Alverca
CF Estrela Amadora
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Alverca

0.95 xG created 1.10 xGA

L 0.47 created, 1.03 conceded against CD Nacional
W 1.06 created, 0.88 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.79 created, 0.62 conceded against FC Porto
D 1.27 created, 0.90 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.46 created, 0.56 conceded against Famalicão
L 1.66 created, 2.59 conceded against FC Porto

CF Estrela Amadora

1.28 xG created 1.93 xGA

L 1.25 created, 1.01 conceded against FC Arouca
L 1.68 created, 1.88 conceded against FC Porto
L 2.75 created, 1.68 conceded against Moreirense
D 0.25 created, 2.00 conceded against Famalicão
D 0.73 created, 2.41 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 1.01 created, 2.63 conceded against Sporting

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Alverca: 0 won · 2 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.