xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Alverca expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Alverca's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Alverca xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.40 xG per match
#5/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
9.77 7 matches
Defence
1.74 xGA per match
#15/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
12.17 7 matches
xG difference
-0.34 xGD per match
#10/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
-2.40 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.06 xPts per match
#14/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
7.39 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Alverca's underlying numbers sit close to the Liga Portugal average. They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.34 per match, built on high chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 9 goals are 0.77 below 9.77 xG, while 8 points are 0.61 above 7.39 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.66 xG from penalties
9 9.77 -0.77 scored 0.77 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
11 12.17 -1.17 conceded 1.17 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 7.39 +0.61 0.61 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Alverca are 0.77 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -1.66, against FC Porto on Sun 09/08.

Goals
9
xG
9.77
Gap
-0.77
Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.66 -1.41 -0.82 -0.23 -0.31 +1.53 -0.77 -1.66 +0.25 +0.59 +0.59 -0.08 +1.84 -2.30 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Alverca: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 FC Porto 0 1.66 -1.66 -1.66
Sat 15/08 CF Estrela Amadora 2 1.75 +0.25 -1.41
Sat 22/08 Sporting 1 0.41 +0.59 -0.82
Sat 29/08 Santa Clara 1 0.41 +0.59 -0.23
Sat 05/09 Sporting Braga 1 1.08 -0.08 -0.31
Sat 12/09 CD Nacional 3 1.16 +1.84 +1.53
Sat 19/09 Rio Ave 1 3.30 -2.30 -0.77

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Alverca xG trend

Current form -0.49 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against Sporting Braga on Sat 05/09 (-2.24).

npxG · last 6
1.22
npxGA · last 6
1.72
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.77 Sun 09/08 +0.26 Sat 15/08 -1.91 Sat 22/08 -1.00 Sat 29/08 -2.24 Sat 05/09 -1.09 Sat 12/09 +3.01 Sat 19/09 -0.31 season avg
FC Alverca: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 FC Porto 1.78 1.01 +0.77 +0.77
Sat 15/08 CF Estrela Amadora 1.75 1.49 +0.26 +0.52
Sat 22/08 Sporting 0.42 2.33 -1.91 -0.29
Sat 29/08 Santa Clara 0.41 1.41 -1.00 -0.47
Sat 05/09 Sporting Braga 0.29 2.53 -2.24 -0.82
Sat 12/09 CD Nacional 1.16 2.25 -1.09 -0.87
Sat 19/09 Rio Ave 3.30 0.29 +3.01 -0.31

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.30 npxG and 1.62 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 7 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 7 hardest of 18

  1. Rio Ave Home −0.55
  2. CD Nacional Away −0.27
  3. Sporting Braga Home +0.15
  4. Santa Clara Home +0.22
  5. Sporting Away +0.55
  6. CF Estrela Amadora Home −0.13
  7. FC Porto Away +0.47

Last 5

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 18

  1. Rio Ave Home −0.55
  2. CD Nacional Away −0.27
  3. Sporting Braga Home +0.15
  4. Santa Clara Home +0.22
  5. Sporting Away +0.55

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Alverca shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. FC Alverca take 11.9 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #10 in Liga Portugal for volume and #5 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 29% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.9 shots per match
#10/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
83 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#5/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
9.11 npxG from 83 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.1 shots per match
#10/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
85 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#18/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
11.31 npxGA from 85 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 51 of 83 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 53 of 85 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

71% open play · 29% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 2.6 of 9.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.8 of 11.3 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Alverca home and away xG

FC Alverca per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.64 1.08
xGA / match 1.32 2.30
xGD / match +0.32 -1.23
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.42 0.57

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Alverca match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.40
xGA / match
1.74
xGD / match
-0.34
Points
8 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 Rio Ave H Best underlying xG 3.30 xGA 0.29 xGD +3.01
  2. Sat 12/09 CD Nacional A Against the chances xG 1.16 xGA 2.20 xGD -1.04
  3. Sat 05/09 Sporting Braga H xG 1.08 P xGA 2.27 xGD -1.19
  4. Sat 29/08 Santa Clara H xG 0.41 xGA 1.41 xGD -1.00
  5. Sat 22/08 Sporting A Weakest underlying xG 0.41 xGA 2.12 xGD -1.71
  6. Sat 15/08 CF Estrela Amadora H xG 1.75 xGA 1.29 xGD +0.46
  7. Sun 09/08 FC Porto A xG 1.66 xGA 2.59 P xGD -0.93

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.30. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Alverca in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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