xgEdge

Every Liga Portugal match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 06/12/2026

4 matches
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.47
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.08
    Tight
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.32 – 0.85
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 0.98
    →

Sunday, 13/12/2026

9 matches
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 0.85
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.51 – 1.21
    →
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.17
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.27 – 1.11
    →
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.68 – 0.88
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 0.79 – 1.08
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.84 – 1.16
    →
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.53 – 0.78
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.76 – 0.86
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 20/12/2026

9 matches
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.80 – 1.92
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.37 – 0.89
    →
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.90 – 0.70
    Clear favourite
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.34 – 0.98
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.98 – 1.13
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.16 – 1.08
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.05 – 0.94
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 0.85
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.95
    →

Sunday, 27/12/2026

9 matches
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.93 – 0.69
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 0.95 – 1.06
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.88 – 0.83
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.35 – 0.77
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.28
    →
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.49 – 1.05
    →
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.35 – 0.96
    →
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.89 – 1.03
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 1.22
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 10/01/2027

9 matches
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.01 – 1.03
    Tight
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.50 – 0.99
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.99 – 1.10
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.17
    Tight
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.15 – 0.90
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.68
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.35 – 0.97
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.57 – 0.99
    →
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.21 – 0.77
    →

Sunday, 17/01/2027

9 matches
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.37 – 0.79
    →
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.78 – 0.80
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.39 – 0.57
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.90 – 1.24
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.01
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.92 – 1.16
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.08 – 1.39
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.75
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.37
    →

Sunday, 24/01/2027

1 match
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.14
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.