xgEdge

Every Liga Portugal match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Sunday, 18/04/2027

7 matches
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.86 – 1.37
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.19
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.06
    →
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.82 – 0.77
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.34 – 0.91
    →
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.36 – 0.93
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.06 – 1.07
    Tight
    →

Sunday, 25/04/2027

9 matches
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.10 – 1.35
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.11
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.38 – 1.02
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.07 – 1.42
    →
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.46 – 0.77
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 0.97 – 1.23
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.44 – 0.68
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.22
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.34 – 0.63
    →

Sunday, 02/05/2027

9 matches
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.34 – 0.93
    →
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.16 – 0.84
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.87 – 1.53
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.41 – 0.79
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.05 – 1.13
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.18 – 1.21
    Tight
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.11 – 1.10
    Tight
    →
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.08
    →
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 2.38 – 0.65
    Clear favourite
    →

Sunday, 09/05/2027

9 matches
  • Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.30 – 1.20
    →
  • CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 0.96 – 1.09
    →
  • Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 0.85 – 1.56
    →
  • Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.59 – 0.81
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.32 – 0.77
    →
  • Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.27 – 0.71
    →
  • FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.51 – 0.97
    →
  • FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.19 – 1.09
    →
  • CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.51
    →

Sunday, 16/05/2027

9 matches
  • Marítimo Marítimo, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Loss, Loss, Draw
    FC Alverca FC Alverca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.20 – 1.09
    →
  • Gil Vicente Gil Vicente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    CD Nacional CD Nacional, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.45 – 0.89
    →
  • Benfica Benfica, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    FC Arouca FC Arouca, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.09 – 0.86
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Estoril Praia Estoril Praia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    CF Estrela Amadora CF Estrela Amadora, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.23 – 1.21
    Tight
    →
  • FC Porto FC Porto, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Win
    Sporting Braga Sporting Braga, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Loss, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.28 – 0.82
    →
  • Casa Pia Casa Pia, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss, Win
    Académico Viseu FC Académico Viseu FC, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.22 – 1.26
    Tight
    →
  • Vitória SC Vitória SC, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Famalicão Famalicão, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.37 – 0.80
    →
  • Santa Clara Santa Clara, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Draw
    Sporting Sporting, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 0.95 – 0.98
    Tight
    →
  • Moreirense Moreirense, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Win, Draw
    Rio Ave Rio Ave, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.11 – 0.92
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.