Tondela 0:2 CD Nacional: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 16:30

Full time

Match report · Liga Portugal

Tondela Home 1.38 xG

CD Nacional Away 1.26 xG

02 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

Tondela CD Nacional

Shots: 22; 17
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 13; 8
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Tondela

0.78 xG created 1.82 xGA

D 1.62 created, 1.69 conceded against Santa Clara
L 0.50 created, 1.23 conceded against Rio Ave
D 0.64 created, 0.80 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
L 0.06 created, 2.55 conceded against Vitória SC
D 1.75 created, 1.67 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 0.11 created, 2.95 conceded against FC Porto

CD Nacional

0.81 xG created 1.37 xGA

D 1.35 created, 0.94 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.80 created, 1.12 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.43 created, 1.74 conceded against Famalicão
W 0.99 created, 0.50 conceded against CF Estrela Amadora
L 0.25 created, 3.43 conceded against Benfica
W 1.03 created, 0.47 conceded against FC Alverca

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Tondela: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

CD Nacional 3:1 Tondela 15/12/2025 xG 2.35 – 3.28

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.