CD Nacional 2:0 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 16:30

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Match report · Liga Portugal

CD Nacional Home 0.99 xG

CF Estrela Amadora Away 0.50 xG

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

CD Nacional CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 16; 11
On target: 4; 2
Inside the box: 8; 6
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

CD Nacional

0.86 xG created 1.44 xGA

L 0.65 created, 0.45 conceded against FC Porto
L 0.99 created, 1.92 conceded against FC Arouca
L 0.96 created, 2.48 conceded against Sporting Braga
D 1.35 created, 0.94 conceded against Moreirense
L 0.80 created, 1.12 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.43 created, 1.74 conceded against Famalicão

CF Estrela Amadora

1.63 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 1.02 created, 1.49 conceded against Vitória SC
L 1.13 created, 1.29 conceded against Tondela
D 0.68 created, 0.78 conceded against AVS - Futebol SAD
D 1.22 created, 1.91 conceded against Gil Vicente
L 1.34 created, 2.75 conceded against Rio Ave
W 4.40 created, 0.65 conceded against Casa Pia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

CD Nacional: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

CF Estrela Amadora 1:1 CD Nacional 09/11/2025 xG 2.22 – 1.26

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.