Vitória SC 2:1 CF Estrela Amadora: xG & match report · Liga Portugal

Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · Liga Portugal

Vitória SC Home 1.49 xG

CF Estrela Amadora Away 1.02 xG

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Vitória SC CF Estrela Amadora

Shots: 20; 6
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 10; 5
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.17

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Vitória SC

1.45 xG created 1.46 xGA

D 1.16 created, 0.39 conceded against Casa Pia
W 0.87 created, 1.50 conceded against CD Nacional
L 1.46 created, 2.29 conceded against FC Porto
L 2.04 created, 2.08 conceded against Estoril Praia
W 1.51 created, 0.77 conceded against Moreirense
L 1.68 created, 1.72 conceded against FC Arouca

CF Estrela Amadora

0.67 xG created 2.15 xGA

W 0.66 created, 2.69 conceded against Famalicão
D 1.01 created, 3.30 conceded against Sporting Braga
L 0.22 created, 2.29 conceded against Estoril Praia
L 0.29 created, 2.40 conceded against Benfica
D 0.88 created, 0.89 conceded against FC Alverca
W 0.94 created, 1.32 conceded against Santa Clara

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Vitória SC: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

CF Estrela Amadora 0:2 Vitória SC 14/09/2025 xG 0.51 – 1.54

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.