Lille 1:1 Le Havre: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Sunday, 03/05/2026 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 1.55 xG · 22 shots

Le Havre Away 0.14 xG · 2 shots

11 Lille had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

29' Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Lille · 0.18 xG chance 1–0
33' Issa Soumaré Le Havre · 0.09 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Lille Le Havre

Shots: 22; 2
On target: 10; 2
Inside the box: 16; 2
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.07
Open play xG: 1.07; 0.14
Set-piece xG: 0.46; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.46 for Lille.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

24 shots · 1.67 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
Le Havre
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

1.80 xG created 0.77 xGA

W 1.63 created, 1.18 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 0.97 created, 0.61 conceded against Olympique de Marseille
W 3.63 created, 0.59 conceded against RC Lens
W 2.31 created, 0.96 conceded against Toulouse
D 0.54 created, 0.19 conceded against Nice
W 1.71 created, 1.06 conceded against Paris FC

Le Havre

1.44 xG created 1.58 xGA

D 0.74 created, 1.10 conceded against Olympique Lyonnais
L 2.18 created, 1.94 conceded against Paris FC
D 0.50 created, 1.70 conceded against Auxerre
D 1.76 created, 2.11 conceded against Nice
D 1.45 created, 1.07 conceded against Angers
D 1.99 created, 1.58 conceded against Metz

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lille: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Le Havre 0:1 Lille 30/11/2025 xG 1.18 – 1.62

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.