Lille 3:0 RC Lens: xG & match report · Ligue 1

Saturday, 04/04/2026 at 21:05

Full time

Match report · Ligue 1

Lille Home 3.63 xG · 13 shots

RC Lens Away 0.59 xG · 5 shots

30 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

44' Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Lille · 0.83 xG chance 1–0
49' Félix Correia Lille · 0.78 xG chance 2–0
58' Matías Fernández-Pardo (pen.) Lille · 0.82 xG chance 3–0

The shots behind it

Lille RC Lens

Shots: 13; 5
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 12; 4
xG per shot: 0.28; 0.12
Open play xG: 2.50; 0.58
Set-piece xG: 0.35; 0.00
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.85 for Lille and 0.59 for RC Lens.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 4.25 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lille
RC Lens
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lille

1.24 xG created 0.59 xGA

D 1.54 created, 0.68 conceded against Stade Brestois
W 2.25 created, 0.38 conceded against Angers
W 0.51 created, 0.21 conceded against Nantes
D 0.51 created, 0.45 conceded against Lorient
W 1.63 created, 1.18 conceded against Stade Rennais
W 0.97 created, 0.61 conceded against Olympique de Marseille

RC Lens

2.41 xG created 1.11 xGA

W 3.45 created, 0.58 conceded against Paris FC
L 1.60 created, 1.95 conceded against AS Monaco
D 1.68 created, 0.75 conceded against RC Strasbourg
W 3.22 created, 0.40 conceded against Metz
L 1.34 created, 1.45 conceded against Lorient
W 3.19 created, 1.50 conceded against Angers

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Lille: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

RC Lens 3:0 Lille 20/09/2025 xG 3.54 – 1.90

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.