What RC Lens have left to play in Ligue 1 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
29 matches ahead in Ligue 1
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 29 matches ahead of RC Lens in Ligue 1 rates 2.4 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Favourable. 18 of them rate easier than balanced, and 1 of them rates harder than balanced. The model expects 1.78 projected xG a match from them and 48.0 of the 87 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is Paris Saint-Germain away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 89/99 and a defence rated 81/99. Worth reading those figures against: the fit behind at least one of these fixtures is drawn from a thin sample of played matches.
The run at a glance
Troyes home Sat 20/02 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 2.32 – 1.24 RC Lens win 61%
Paris Saint-Germain away Sun 28/02 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
Projected xG 1.26 – 2.11 RC Lens win 20%
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Open the match page for Olympique Lyonnais
Fri 09/10 Home Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.74 – 1.24 Projected xPts 1.71- RC Lens
- 48%
- Draw
- 28%
- Olympique Lyonnais
- 25%
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Open the match page for Troyes
Sat 17/10 Away Troyes Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 20/99Projected xG 1.95 – 1.47 Projected xPts 1.69- Troyes
- 27%
- Draw
- 25%
- RC Lens
- 48%
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Open the match page for Paris FC
Sat 24/10 Home Paris FC Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 70/99Projected xG 1.66 – 1.16 Projected xPts 1.72- RC Lens
- 48%
- Draw
- 28%
- Paris FC
- 24%
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Open the match page for Lille
Fri 30/10 Away Lille Ligue 1
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 73/99Projected xG 1.37 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.36- Lille
- 35%
- Draw
- 30%
- RC Lens
- 35%
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Open the match page for Olympique de Marseille
Sun 08/11 Home Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 28/99Projected xG 2.19 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.90- RC Lens
- 55%
- Draw
- 23%
- Olympique de Marseille
- 21%
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Open the match page for Toulouse
Sat 21/11 Home Toulouse Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 62/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 2.05 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.82- RC Lens
- 53%
- Draw
- 25%
- Toulouse
- 23%
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Open the match page for Angers
Sat 28/11 Away Angers Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99Projected xG 1.74 – 1.25 Projected xPts 1.70- Angers
- 25%
- Draw
- 28%
- RC Lens
- 48%
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Open the match page for Le Havre
Sat 05/12 Home Le Havre Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 45/99Projected xG 1.98 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.92- RC Lens
- 56%
- Draw
- 25%
- Le Havre
- 19%
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Open the match page for Nice
Sat 12/12 Away Nice Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 1.76 – 1.27 Projected xPts 1.70- Nice
- 25%
- Draw
- 27%
- RC Lens
- 47%
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Open the match page for Paris Saint-Germain
Sun 03/01 Home Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 81/99Projected xG 1.49 – 1.78 Projected xPts 1.17- RC Lens
- 30%
- Draw
- 27%
- Paris Saint-Germain
- 43%
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Open the match page for Stade Rennais
Sat 16/01 Away Stade Rennais Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 1.80 – 1.61 Projected xPts 1.49- Stade Rennais
- 33%
- Draw
- 26%
- RC Lens
- 41%
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Open the match page for Stade Brestois
Sat 23/01 Home Stade Brestois Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 1.79 – 1.28 Projected xPts 1.72- RC Lens
- 48%
- Draw
- 27%
- Stade Brestois
- 25%
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Open the match page for Toulouse
Sat 30/01 Away Toulouse Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 62/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 1.72 – 1.61 Projected xPts 1.44- Toulouse
- 34%
- Draw
- 27%
- RC Lens
- 39%
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Open the match page for Angers
Sat 06/02 Home Angers Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 33/99, defence 37/99Projected xG 2.07 – 1.06 Projected xPts 2.05- RC Lens
- 60%
- Draw
- 24%
- Angers
- 16%
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Open the match page for Olympique Lyonnais
Sat 13/02 Away Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.46 – 1.47 Projected xPts 1.35- Olympique Lyonnais
- 36%
- Draw
- 29%
- RC Lens
- 35%
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Open the match page for Troyes
Sat 20/02 Home Troyes Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 50/99, defence 20/99Projected xG 2.32 – 1.24 Projected xPts 2.06- RC Lens
- 61%
- Draw
- 22%
- Troyes
- 17%
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Open the match page for Paris Saint-Germain
Sun 28/02 Away Paris Saint-Germain Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 89/99, defence 81/99Projected xG 1.26 – 2.11 Projected xPts 0.83- Paris Saint-Germain
- 56%
- Draw
- 24%
- RC Lens
- 20%
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Open the match page for RC Strasbourg
Sat 06/03 Home RC Strasbourg Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 40/99, defence 38/99Projected xG 2.06 – 1.13 Projected xPts 1.99- RC Lens
- 58%
- Draw
- 24%
- RC Strasbourg
- 17%
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Open the match page for Le Havre
Sat 13/03 Away Le Havre Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 45/99Projected xG 1.67 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.56- Le Havre
- 29%
- Draw
- 28%
- RC Lens
- 43%
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Open the match page for Lille
Sat 20/03 Home Lille Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 73/99Projected xG 1.63 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.70- RC Lens
- 47%
- Draw
- 29%
- Lille
- 24%
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Open the match page for Auxerre
Sat 03/04 Away Auxerre Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 29/99, defence 49/99Projected xG 1.62 – 1.20 Projected xPts 1.66- Auxerre
- 26%
- Draw
- 29%
- RC Lens
- 46%
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Open the match page for Lorient
Sat 10/04 Away Lorient Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 27/99, defence 69/99Projected xG 1.42 – 1.17 Projected xPts 1.54- Lorient
- 28%
- Draw
- 31%
- RC Lens
- 41%
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Open the match page for Nice
Sat 17/04 Home Nice Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 35/99, defence 36/99Projected xG 2.08 – 1.07 Projected xPts 2.05- RC Lens
- 60%
- Draw
- 24%
- Nice
- 16%
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Open the match page for Paris FC
Sat 24/04 Away Paris FC Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 43/99, defence 70/99Projected xG 1.40 – 1.38 Projected xPts 1.37- Paris FC
- 34%
- Draw
- 30%
- RC Lens
- 36%
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Open the match page for Le Mans
Sat 01/05 Home Le Mans Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 47/99, defence 39/99Projected xG 2.04 – 1.20 Projected xPts 1.93- RC Lens
- 56%
- Draw
- 25%
- Le Mans
- 19%
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Open the match page for AS Monaco
Sat 08/05 Home AS Monaco Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 41/99, defence 65/99Projected xG 1.73 – 1.14 Projected xPts 1.78- RC Lens
- 50%
- Draw
- 28%
- AS Monaco
- 22%
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Open the match page for Olympique de Marseille
Sun 16/05 Away Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 63/99, defence 28/99Projected xG 1.85 – 1.64 Projected xPts 1.51- Olympique de Marseille
- 32%
- Draw
- 26%
- RC Lens
- 42%
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Open the match page for Stade Rennais
Sat 22/05 Home Stade Rennais Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
2 Favourable Opponent: attack 61/99, defence 32/99Projected xG 2.13 – 1.36 Projected xPts 1.88- RC Lens
- 55%
- Draw
- 24%
- Stade Rennais
- 21%
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Open the match page for Stade Brestois
Sat 29/05 Away Stade Brestois Ligue 1 Not confirmed yet: the date can still move, and the kickoff time is set nearer the match.
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 54/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 1.51 – 1.52 Projected xPts 1.35- Stade Brestois
- 36%
- Draw
- 28%
- RC Lens
- 36%
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Ligue 1.
Fixture difficulty in Ligue 1
Reads each matchup for RC Lens: the band is cut from the model's chances of RC Lens winning and losing the match, so RC Lens's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 8 hardest of 18 in Ligue 1
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Ligue 1's average club, with no venue and nothing of RC Lens's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 8 hardest of 18
- Olympique Lyonnais Home +0.12
- Troyes Away −0.28
- Paris FC Home +0.09
- Lille Away +0.10
- Olympique de Marseille Home −0.04
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Ligue 1 and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.