Premier Division (Ireland)

Premier Division (Ireland) results 2025/2026

Every Premier Division (Ireland) match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

The season's model record appears after 20 matches.

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Friday, 04/04/2025

2 matches

20:45

Derry City 2

Cork City 1

xG 3.11 – 0.74 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Bohemian FC 4

Sligo Rovers 2

xG 2.20 – 1.49 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 28/03/2025

5 matches

21:00

Shamrock Rovers 0

Derry City 0

xG 0.76 – 0.43 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Sligo Rovers 1

Shelbourne 2

xG 0.90 – 1.48 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Waterford FC 1

St. Patrick's Athletic 2

xG 0.38 – 1.10 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Cork City 1

Drogheda United 1

xG 1.54 – 3.28 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Bohemian FC 0

Galway United 2

xG 1.35 – 0.64 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 15/03/2025

1 match

20:45

Sligo Rovers 0

Derry City 1

xG 0.61 – 0.21 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 14/03/2025

4 matches

20:45

St. Patrick's Athletic 3

Bohemian FC 0

xG 1.87 – 0.52 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Shelbourne 1

Cork City 1

xG 1.32 – 0.64 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Galway United 1

Waterford FC 0

xG 0.85 – 0.41 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Drogheda United 1

Shamrock Rovers 2

xG 1.55 – 1.35 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 07/03/2025

5 matches

20:45

Shamrock Rovers 1

St. Patrick's Athletic 0

xG 0.59 – 1.14 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Waterford FC 0

Bohemian FC 3

xG 1.35 – 1.95 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Shelbourne 0

Drogheda United 1

xG 1.01 – 0.35 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Derry City 1

Galway United 1

xG 2.73 – 0.86 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Cork City 1

Sligo Rovers 1

xG 1.66 – 0.24 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 03/03/2025

5 matches

20:45

Waterford FC 2

Cork City 1

xG 1.80 – 0.73 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

St. Patrick's Athletic 2

Derry City 0

xG 2.09 – 0.03 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Sligo Rovers 2

Shamrock Rovers 1

xG 1.74 – 1.17 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Galway United 1

Shelbourne 1

xG 0.36 – 1.13 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Bohemian FC 0

Drogheda United 1

xG 0.52 – 0.60 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 28/02/2025

5 matches

20:45

St. Patrick's Athletic 4

Sligo Rovers 3

xG 1.27 – 2.11 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Shelbourne 1

Shamrock Rovers 1

xG 1.19 – 0.54 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Drogheda United 1

Galway United 1

xG 1.27 – 0.83 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Derry City 1

Waterford FC 2

xG 3.26 – 1.03 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Cork City 2

Bohemian FC 1

xG 1.15 – 1.04 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 21/02/2025

4 matches

20:45

Waterford FC 0

Shelbourne 1

xG 1.83 – 0.71 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Galway United 2

St. Patrick's Athletic 1

xG 1.19 – 1.22 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Drogheda United 3

Sligo Rovers 0

xG 0.59 – 0.26 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Derry City 1

Bohemian FC 0

xG 0.28 – 0.84 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 16/02/2025

1 match

15:00

Bohemian FC 1

Shamrock Rovers 0

xG 0.69 – 1.21 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 15/02/2025

1 match

20:45

Sligo Rovers 2

Waterford FC 3

xG 3.46 – 1.62 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 14/02/2025

3 matches

20:45

St. Patrick's Athletic 0

Drogheda United 0

xG 1.34 – 0.16 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Shelbourne 3

Derry City 1

xG 1.88 – 1.07 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
20:45

Cork City 2

Galway United 2

xG 1.40 – 0.66 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.