Expected goals
University College Dublin expected goals (xG) 2025/2026
Premier Division (Ireland) · after 2 matches · updated 1 Oct
University College Dublin's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
University College Dublin xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓- League avg
- 1.18
- Total
- 2.46 2 matches
- League avg
- 1.18
- Total
- 2.11 2 matches
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- +0.35 2 matches
- League avg
- 1.37
- Total
- 3.21 vs 0 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 2 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
University College Dublin have created about as much as they have allowed so far, at +0.18 xG difference per match. After only 2 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
University College Dublin are 0.46 goals below their xG after 2 matches. The gap was widest at -1.42, against Bray Wanderers on Fri 24/10.
- Goals
- 2
- xG
- 2.46
- Gap
- -0.46
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24/10 | Bray Wanderers | 0 | 1.42 | -1.42 | -1.42 |
| Tue 28/10 | Bray Wanderers | 2 | 1.04 | +0.96 | -0.46 |
The trend appears after 3 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- −0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 2 league matches
- Not ranked: a club needs 27 matches against rated opponents, and University College Dublin have 2.
- Last 2
- −0.03 xG vs league average
- Over 2 league matches
- Not ranked: only 2 league matches played, and Last 5 ranks full runs of 5.
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
−0.03 xG vs league average · over 2 matches
- Bray Wanderers Away −0.03
- Bray Wanderers Home −0.03
Last 2
−0.03 xG vs league average · over 2 matches
- Bray Wanderers Away −0.03
- Bray Wanderers Home −0.03
University College Dublin shots and chance quality
Attack
- League avg
- 13.1
- Total
- 18 shots from 2 matches
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 2.46 npxG from 18 shots
Defence
- League avg
- 13.1
- Total
- 25 shots allowed from 2 matches
- League avg
- 0.09
- Total
- 2.11 npxGA from 25 shots
University College Dublin home and away xG
| Measure | Home only 1 match with xG | Away only 1 match with xG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 1 | 1 |
| xG / match | 1.42 | 1.04 |
| xGA / match | 0.17 | 1.94 |
| xGD / match | +1.25 | -0.90 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 2.49 | 0.71 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every University College Dublin match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 2
- xG / match
- 1.23
- xGA / match
- 1.06
- xGD / match
- +0.18
- Points
- 0 of 6
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
University College Dublin in Premier Division (Ireland)
Overall
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.