Arsenal 2:1 Brighton & Hove Albion: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 27/12/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Arsenal Home 3.08 xG · 25 shots

Brighton & Hove Albion Away 0.85 xG · 8 shots

21 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

14' Martin Ødegaard Arsenal · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
52' Georginio Rutter (o.g.) Arsenal · 0.10 xG chance 2–0
64' Diego Gómez Brighton & Hove Albion · 0.12 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Arsenal Brighton & Hove Albion

Shots: 25; 8
On target: 7; 3
Inside the box: 21; 7
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.11
Open play xG: 3.18; 0.63
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.24
Penalties: —; —

Arsenal's shots add up to 3.36 xG and Brighton & Hove Albion's to 0.87; the published figures are 3.08 and 0.85.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 4.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Arsenal
Brighton & Hove Albion
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Arsenal

1.64 xG created 0.66 xGA

W 1.93 created, 0.07 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
D 1.26 created, 0.79 conceded against Chelsea
W 1.77 created, 0.35 conceded against Brentford
L 1.92 created, 2.16 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.13 created, 0.38 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 1.81 created, 0.20 conceded against Everton

Brighton & Hove Albion

1.72 xG created 1.60 xGA

W 1.22 created, 1.91 conceded against Brentford
W 2.00 created, 0.89 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 2.21 created, 2.41 conceded against Aston Villa
D 1.87 created, 1.14 conceded against West Ham United
L 1.90 created, 1.89 conceded against Liverpool
D 1.13 created, 1.38 conceded against Sunderland

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.