xgEdge

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · Premier League

Arsenal 2:0 Everton

Arsenal Home 2.59 xG · 25 shots
Everton Away 1.05 xG · 9 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 89' Viktor Gyökeres Arsenal · 0.87 xG chance 1–0
  2. 90' Max Dowman Arsenal · 0.85 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Arsenal Everton
Shots
25
9
On target
7
3
Inside the box
12
5
xG per shot
0.10
0.12
Open play xG
2.25
0.88
Set-piece xG
0.31
0.17
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.59 for Arsenal.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Arsenal · Viktor Gyökeres · 89' · Goal · 1 m · 0.87 xG Arsenal · Max Dowman · 90' · Goal · 15 m · 0.85 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 18' · No goal · 7 m · 0.44 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 17' · No goal · 11 m · 0.26 xG Everton · Beto · 49' · No goal · 4 m · 0.11 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 9' · No goal · 15 m · 0.08 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 11' · No goal · 18 m · 0.08 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 31' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Arsenal · Max Dowman · 83' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG Arsenal · Martín Zubimendi · 13' · No goal · 11 m · 0.06 xG Everton · Michael Keane · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.06 xG Arsenal · Noni Madueke · 6' · No goal · 15 m · 0.05 xG Arsenal · Declan Rice · 35' · No goal · 25 m · 0.05 xG Arsenal · Martín Zubimendi · 11' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 38' · No goal · 3 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 49' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 60' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 64' · No goal · 16 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 77' · No goal · 26 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Gabriel Martinelli · 90' · No goal · 22 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 8' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 18' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 31' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Idrissa Gana Gueye · 45' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Noni Madueke · 45' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 52' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 60' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Riccardo Calafiori · 60' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Idrissa Gana Gueye · 68' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Gabriel Magalhães · 75' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 77' · No goal · 23 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 15' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 45' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

34 shots · 3.61 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Arsenal
  • Everton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Arsenal

1.20 xG created 0.74 xGA

  • W 1.22 created, 0.17 conceded against Sunderland
  • D 0.60 created, 1.34 conceded against Brentford
  • D 1.86 created, 0.29 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • W 1.93 created, 0.76 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • W 1.13 created, 1.05 conceded against Chelsea
  • W 0.43 created, 0.80 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
Everton

1.55 xG created 1.20 xGA

  • D 1.20 created, 1.29 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 1.68 created, 1.97 conceded against Fulham
  • L 2.91 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 0.29 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.13 created, 0.97 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 1.10 created, 0.79 conceded against Burnley

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Arsenal: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.