xgEdge

Tuesday, 03/03/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Premier League

Everton 2:0 Burnley

Everton Home 1.10 xG · 14 shots
Burnley Away 0.79 xG · 5 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 32' James Tarkowski Everton · 0.12 xG chance 1–0
  2. 60' Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall Everton · 0.30 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Everton Burnley
Shots
14
5
On target
5
2
Inside the box
9
3
xG per shot
0.08
0.15
Open play xG
0.61
0.12
Set-piece xG
0.46
0.64
Penalties
—
—

Everton's shots add up to 1.07 xG and Burnley's to 0.76; the published figures are 1.10 and 0.79.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Burnley · Lyle Foster · 90' · No goal · 4 m · 0.62 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 60' · Goal · 7 m · 0.30 xG Everton · Beto · 52' · No goal · 5 m · 0.23 xG Everton · James Tarkowski · 32' · Goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 19' · No goal · 15 m · 0.11 xG Burnley · Lyle Foster · 2' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 76' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Everton · Idrissa Gana Gueye · 7' · No goal · 22 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 25' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Jarrad Branthwaite · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 90' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.03 xG Everton · Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall · 37' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Beto · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Idrissa Gana Gueye · 74' · No goal · 18 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 79' · No goal · 29 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Lucas Pires · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Dwight McNeil · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

19 shots · 1.83 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Everton
  • Burnley
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Everton

1.47 xG created 1.27 xGA

  • D 0.60 created, 1.23 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 1.20 created, 1.29 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 1.68 created, 1.97 conceded against Fulham
  • L 2.91 created, 1.33 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 0.29 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester United
  • W 2.13 created, 0.97 conceded against Newcastle United
Burnley

0.84 xG created 1.74 xGA

  • D 1.44 created, 2.30 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.06 created, 1.47 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.28 created, 1.02 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 0.53 created, 1.80 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • D 0.78 created, 1.88 conceded against Chelsea
  • L 0.97 created, 1.94 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Everton: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.