xgEdge

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 16:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Chelsea 1:1 Burnley

Chelsea Home 1.88 xG · 12 shots
Burnley Away 0.78 xG · 12 shots
11 Chelsea had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 4' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.85 xG chance 1–0
  2. 90' Zian Flemming Burnley · 0.10 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Chelsea Burnley
Shots
12
12
On target
2
4
Inside the box
7
9
xG per shot
0.16
0.06
Open play xG
1.61
0.32
Set-piece xG
0.26
0.45
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.88 for Chelsea and 0.78 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · João Pedro · 4' · Goal · 3 m · 0.85 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 66' · No goal · 3 m · 0.24 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 56' · No goal · 11 m · 0.17 xG Chelsea · Jorrel Hato · 83' · No goal · 17 m · 0.11 xG Burnley · Maxime Estève · 87' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Burnley · Jacob Bruun Larsen · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.11 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 40' · No goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 51' · No goal · 13 m · 0.10 xG Burnley · Zian Flemming · 90' · Goal · 8 m · 0.10 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 10' · No goal · 19 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 12' · No goal · 16 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 46' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 35' · No goal · 24 m · 0.07 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.07 xG Burnley · Josh Laurent · 77' · No goal · 7 m · 0.06 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.06 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 37' · No goal · 26 m · 0.05 xG Burnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 7' · No goal · 17 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Lesley Ugochukwu · 8' · No goal · 7 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Moisés Caicedo · 70' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 77' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 17' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 41' · No goal · 22 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Marcus Edwards · 79' · No goal · 27 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

24 shots · 2.64 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Chelsea
  • Burnley
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Chelsea

2.50 xG created 1.38 xGA

  • L 2.39 created, 1.20 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.59 created, 1.52 conceded against Brentford
  • W 2.20 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.55 created, 1.12 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 3.16 created, 1.09 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 3.13 created, 1.44 conceded against Leeds United
Burnley

0.66 xG created 2.05 xGA

  • D 0.24 created, 2.55 conceded against Manchester United
  • D 0.40 created, 3.18 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 1.44 created, 2.30 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 0.06 created, 1.47 conceded against Sunderland
  • L 1.28 created, 1.02 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 0.53 created, 1.80 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Chelsea: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.