xgEdge

Sunday, 25/01/2026 at 15:00

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Crystal Palace 1:3 Chelsea

Crystal Palace Home 1.88 xG · 13 shots
Chelsea Away 2.20 xG · 10 shots
13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 34' Estêvão Chelsea · 0.25 xG chance 0–1
  2. 50' João Pedro Chelsea · 0.32 xG chance 0–2
  3. 64' Enzo Fernández (pen.) Chelsea · 0.82 xG chance 0–3
  4. 88' Chris Richards Crystal Palace · 0.53 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Crystal Palace Chelsea
Shots
13
10
On target
7
6
Inside the box
12
8
xG per shot
0.14
0.22
Open play xG
0.68
1.35
Set-piece xG
1.15
0.00
Penalties
0
1

Crystal Palace's shots add up to 1.83 xG and Chelsea's to 2.17; the published figures are 1.88 and 2.20.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 64' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG Crystal Palace · Chris Richards · 88' · Goal · 3 m · 0.53 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 8' · No goal · 9 m · 0.36 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 50' · Goal · 8 m · 0.32 xG Chelsea · João Pedro · 59' · No goal · 8 m · 0.30 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 90' · No goal · 8 m · 0.26 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 34' · Goal · 12 m · 0.25 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 13' · No goal · 11 m · 0.14 xG Crystal Palace · Ismaïla Sarr · 28' · No goal · 7 m · 0.14 xG Chelsea · Marc Cucurella · 57' · No goal · 10 m · 0.14 xG Crystal Palace · Jefferson Lerma · 88' · No goal · 3 m · 0.12 xG Crystal Palace · Maxence Lacroix · 76' · No goal · 5 m · 0.10 xG Crystal Palace · Jefferson Lerma · 19' · No goal · 3 m · 0.09 xG Crystal Palace · Chadi Riad · 88' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 43' · No goal · 7 m · 0.08 xG Chelsea · Moisés Caicedo · 17' · No goal · 19 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 27' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Crystal Palace · Jean-Philippe Mateta · 31' · No goal · 9 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Yéremy Pino · 85' · No goal · 39 m · 0.04 xG Crystal Palace · Maxence Lacroix · 87' · No goal · 8 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 57' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Brennan Johnson · 75' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Crystal Palace · Jefferson Lerma · 81' · No goal · 10 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

23 shots · 4.00 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Crystal Palace
  • Chelsea
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Crystal Palace

1.30 xG created 1.81 xGA

  • L 1.56 created, 2.67 conceded against Leeds United
  • L 1.47 created, 0.88 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • D 1.93 created, 1.76 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.70 created, 2.08 conceded against Newcastle United
  • D 1.50 created, 1.74 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.61 created, 1.71 conceded against Sunderland
Chelsea

1.92 xG created 1.73 xGA

  • D 1.22 created, 2.31 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 2.14 created, 1.19 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 2.31 created, 3.14 conceded against Bournemouth
  • D 1.85 created, 1.02 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 2.39 created, 1.20 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.59 created, 1.52 conceded against Brentford

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Crystal Palace: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.