xgEdge

Sunday, 04/01/2026 at 18:30

Full time
Match report · Premier League

Manchester City 1:1 Chelsea

Manchester City Home 1.02 xG · 14 shots
Chelsea Away 1.85 xG · 8 shots
11 Chelsea had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 42' Tijjani Reijnders Manchester City · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
  2. 90' Enzo Fernández Chelsea · 0.90 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Manchester City Chelsea
Shots
14
8
On target
3
3
Inside the box
12
8
xG per shot
0.07
0.27
Open play xG
0.75
2.14
Set-piece xG
0.28
0.00
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.02 for Manchester City and 2.10 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 90' · Goal · 1 m · 0.90 xG Chelsea · Pedro Neto · 49' · No goal · 9 m · 0.42 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.27 xG Chelsea · Estêvão · 19' · No goal · 10 m · 0.20 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 20' · No goal · 13 m · 0.16 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 89' · No goal · 8 m · 0.14 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 58' · No goal · 15 m · 0.13 xG Chelsea · Cole Palmer · 89' · No goal · 8 m · 0.12 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 26' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 38' · No goal · 19 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 39' · No goal · 13 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 45' · No goal · 12 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Rúben Dias · 57' · No goal · 5 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 28' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Bernardo Silva · 36' · No goal · 12 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 42' · Goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Chelsea · Liam Delap · 72' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 63' · No goal · 21 m · 0.04 xG Chelsea · Enzo Fernández · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 40' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 73' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 76' · No goal · 17 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

22 shots · 3.17 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester City
  • Chelsea
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester City

1.92 xG created 0.99 xGA

  • W 2.17 created, 0.91 conceded against Fulham
  • W 2.42 created, 0.71 conceded against Sunderland
  • W 1.19 created, 1.88 conceded against Crystal Palace
  • W 2.10 created, 0.98 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 1.39 created, 0.59 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • D 2.24 created, 0.88 conceded against Sunderland
Chelsea

1.65 xG created 1.99 xGA

  • L 1.11 created, 2.82 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 0.92 created, 1.42 conceded against Bournemouth
  • W 2.20 created, 1.03 conceded against Everton
  • D 1.22 created, 2.31 conceded against Newcastle United
  • L 2.14 created, 1.19 conceded against Aston Villa
  • D 2.31 created, 3.14 conceded against Bournemouth

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.