Leeds United 3:1 Chelsea: xG & match report · Premier League

Wednesday, 03/12/2025 at 21:15

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Leeds United Home 2.82 xG · 17 shots

Chelsea Away 1.11 xG · 14 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

6' Jaka Bijol Leeds United · 0.09 xG chance 1–0
43' Ao Tanaka Leeds United · 0.08 xG chance 2–0
50' Pedro Neto Chelsea · 0.15 xG chance 2–1
72' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · 0.96 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Leeds United Chelsea

Shots: 17; 14
On target: 5; 2
Inside the box: 11; 11
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.08
Open play xG: 2.32; 0.88
Set-piece xG: 0.46; 0.21
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.82 for Leeds United and 1.11 for Chelsea.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

31 shots · 3.87 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Leeds United
Chelsea
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Leeds United

1.44 xG created 1.90 xGA

L 2.63 created, 0.45 conceded against Burnley
W 1.49 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.50 created, 3.07 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.69 created, 2.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.79 created, 1.58 conceded against Aston Villa
L 1.54 created, 3.10 conceded against Manchester City

Chelsea

2.01 xG created 0.94 xGA

W 1.67 created, 2.35 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 0.90 created, 1.31 conceded against Sunderland
W 3.68 created, 0.10 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
W 3.31 created, 0.17 conceded against Wolverhampton
W 1.72 created, 0.44 conceded against Burnley
D 0.79 created, 1.26 conceded against Arsenal

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.