Manchester City 3:2 Leeds United: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 29/11/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Manchester City Home 3.10 xG · 18 shots

Leeds United Away 1.54 xG · 9 shots

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

1' Phil Foden Manchester City · 0.25 xG chance 1–0
25' Joško Gvardiol Manchester City · 0.69 xG chance 2–0
49' Dominic Calvert-Lewin Leeds United · 0.14 xG chance 2–1
68' Lukas Nmecha Leeds United · 0.93 xG chance 2–2
90' Phil Foden Manchester City · 0.10 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Manchester City Leeds United

Shots: 18; 9
On target: 9; 4
Inside the box: 14; 8
xG per shot: 0.17; 0.26
Open play xG: 1.32; 0.18
Set-piece xG: 1.82; 1.32
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 3.10 for Manchester City and 1.46 for Leeds United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 5.46 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Manchester City
Leeds United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Manchester City

1.77 xG created 0.98 xGA

W 0.85 created, 0.70 conceded against Brentford
W 2.38 created, 0.81 conceded against Everton
L 1.18 created, 0.81 conceded against Aston Villa
W 2.22 created, 0.72 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.51 created, 0.61 conceded against Liverpool
L 2.49 created, 2.24 conceded against Newcastle United

Leeds United

1.46 xG created 1.47 xGA

L 1.68 created, 0.53 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
L 2.63 created, 0.45 conceded against Burnley
W 1.49 created, 0.65 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.50 created, 3.07 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
L 0.69 created, 2.55 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.79 created, 1.58 conceded against Aston Villa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.