xgEdge

Saturday, 18/10/2025 at 16:00

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Match report · Premier League

Manchester City 2:0 Everton

Manchester City Home 2.38 xG · 19 shots
Everton Away 0.81 xG · 5 shots
20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 58' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.14 xG chance 1–0
  2. 63' Erling Haaland Manchester City · 0.12 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Manchester City Everton
Shots
19
5
On target
7
1
Inside the box
16
4
xG per shot
0.13
0.16
Open play xG
1.92
0.79
Set-piece xG
0.53
0.00
Penalties
—
—

Manchester City's shots add up to 2.45 xG and Everton's to 0.79; the published figures are 2.38 and 0.81.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Everton · Beto · 14' · No goal · 5 m · 0.59 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 90' · No goal · 14 m · 0.43 xG Manchester City · Jérémy Doku · 42' · No goal · 10 m · 0.38 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 90' · No goal · 13 m · 0.30 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 80' · No goal · 6 m · 0.18 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 31' · No goal · 11 m · 0.15 xG Manchester City · Rayan Cherki · 90' · No goal · 15 m · 0.15 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 58' · Goal · 9 m · 0.14 xG Everton · James Garner · 61' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 63' · Goal · 15 m · 0.12 xG Manchester City · Savinho · 15' · No goal · 5 m · 0.11 xG Manchester City · Erling Haaland · 90' · No goal · 12 m · 0.09 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 18' · No goal · 13 m · 0.08 xG Manchester City · Nathan Aké · 45' · No goal · 8 m · 0.08 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 48' · No goal · 6 m · 0.06 xG Manchester City · Phil Foden · 70' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG Everton · Iliman Ndiaye · 41' · No goal · 12 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Oscar Bobb · 73' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Manchester City · Savinho · 45' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Everton · Merlin Röhl · 77' · No goal · 8 m · 0.03 xG Manchester City · Nico O'Reilly · 11' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Matheus Nunes · 16' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG Manchester City · Tijjani Reijnders · 24' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG Everton · Carlos Alcaraz · 25' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

24 shots · 3.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Manchester City
  • Everton
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Manchester City

1.63 xG created 1.16 xGA

  • L 1.55 created, 1.11 conceded against Tottenham Hotspur
  • L 1.82 created, 2.30 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 2.63 created, 1.52 conceded against Manchester United
  • D 0.87 created, 0.89 conceded against Arsenal
  • W 2.03 created, 0.41 conceded against Burnley
  • W 0.85 created, 0.70 conceded against Brentford
Everton

1.51 xG created 1.28 xGA

  • W 1.60 created, 2.43 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W 1.93 created, 1.11 conceded against Wolverhampton
  • D 2.08 created, 0.54 conceded against Aston Villa
  • L 0.70 created, 0.90 conceded against Liverpool
  • D 0.73 created, 1.19 conceded against West Ham United
  • W 2.03 created, 1.53 conceded against Crystal Palace

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.