Newcastle United 2:1 Manchester City: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 18:30

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Newcastle United Home 2.24 xG · 9 shots

Manchester City Away 2.49 xG · 17 shots

21 The result went against the chances

Goals

64' Harvey Barnes Newcastle United · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
68' Rúben Dias Manchester City · 0.08 xG chance 1–1
70' Harvey Barnes Newcastle United · 0.45 xG chance 2–1

The shots behind it

Newcastle United Manchester City

Shots: 9; 17
On target: 5; 4
Inside the box: 7; 14
xG per shot: 0.30; 0.14
Open play xG: 1.61; 2.19
Set-piece xG: 1.06; 0.23
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.65 for Newcastle United and 2.49 for Manchester City.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 5.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Newcastle United
Manchester City
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Newcastle United

1.41 xG created 1.48 xGA

L 0.61 created, 2.04 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.45 created, 0.91 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.14 created, 1.53 conceded against Fulham
L 0.52 created, 1.75 conceded against West Ham United
L 0.44 created, 2.35 conceded against Brentford

Manchester City

1.70 xG created 0.68 xGA

W 2.03 created, 0.41 conceded against Burnley
W 0.85 created, 0.70 conceded against Brentford
W 2.38 created, 0.81 conceded against Everton
L 1.18 created, 0.81 conceded against Aston Villa
W 2.22 created, 0.72 conceded against Bournemouth
W 1.51 created, 0.61 conceded against Liverpool

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.