Brentford 3:1 Newcastle United: xG & match report · Premier League

Sunday, 09/11/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Brentford Home 2.35 xG · 15 shots

Newcastle United Away 0.44 xG · 5 shots

31 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

27' Harvey Barnes Newcastle United · 0.26 xG chance 0–1
56' Kevin Schade Brentford · 0.27 xG chance 1–1
78' Igor Thiago (pen.) Brentford · 0.82 xG chance 2–1
90' Igor Thiago Brentford · 0.35 xG chance 3–1

The shots behind it

Brentford Newcastle United

Shots: 15; 5
On target: 7; 1
Inside the box: 13; 2
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.58; 0.35
Set-piece xG: 0.98; 0.05
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.57 for Brentford and 0.42 for Newcastle United.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 2.78 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Brentford
Newcastle United
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Brentford

1.48 xG created 1.20 xGA

L 0.60 created, 1.01 conceded against Fulham
W 1.99 created, 2.03 conceded against Manchester United
L 0.70 created, 0.85 conceded against Manchester City
W 2.31 created, 0.33 conceded against West Ham United
W 2.75 created, 2.30 conceded against Liverpool
L 0.54 created, 0.70 conceded against Crystal Palace

Newcastle United

1.36 xG created 1.16 xGA

D 0.14 created, 0.46 conceded against Bournemouth
L 0.61 created, 2.04 conceded against Arsenal
W 3.28 created, 0.29 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 1.45 created, 0.91 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 2.14 created, 1.53 conceded against Fulham
L 0.52 created, 1.75 conceded against West Ham United

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.