Chelsea 1:2 Sunderland: xG & match report · Premier League

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Premier League

Chelsea Home 0.90 xG · 16 shots

Sunderland Away 1.31 xG · 10 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

4' Alejandro Garnacho Chelsea · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
22' Wilson Isidor Sunderland · 0.77 xG chance 1–1
90' Chemsdine Talbi Sunderland · 0.11 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Chelsea Sunderland

Shots: 16; 10
On target: 7; 4
Inside the box: 10; 7
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.39; 0.37
Set-piece xG: 0.52; 0.97
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.90 for Chelsea and 1.31 for Sunderland.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.25 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Chelsea
Sunderland
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Chelsea

1.42 xG created 1.81 xGA

W 2.35 created, 1.02 conceded against Fulham
D 1.25 created, 1.43 conceded against Brentford
L 0.43 created, 1.84 conceded against Manchester United
L 1.81 created, 2.28 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
W 1.00 created, 1.95 conceded against Liverpool
W 1.67 created, 2.35 conceded against Nottingham Forest

Sunderland

0.92 xG created 1.35 xGA

W 1.54 created, 1.20 conceded against Brentford
D 0.36 created, 1.77 conceded against Crystal Palace
D 1.04 created, 0.78 conceded against Aston Villa
W 1.19 created, 1.65 conceded against Nottingham Forest
L 0.71 created, 1.88 conceded against Manchester United
W 0.65 created, 0.83 conceded against Wolverhampton

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.